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Analyse

Ascelia Pharma (One-pager): Progressing according to plan

Ascelia Pharma
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The company has successfully conducted a rights issue raising gross proceeds of SEK 105m, which strengthens its balance sheet and improves the company’s negotiation power with potential partners. Combined with its TO 1 warrants, to be exercised in April 2025, the company is fully financed until end-2025, excluding potential additional partnership milestones. Since the latest rights issue was announced on 10 June 2024, the share price has retreated 78%, reflecting that the market implicitly assumes there is just over 30% probability of success (PoS) for approval and successful launch of Orviglance in the base case scenario. See page 2-3 for further discussions of the model and results.

There are currently no competitors and given its niche market, addressing only around 4% of patients, the market will likely remain competition-free during the 7-year FDA regulatory exclusivity period, suggesting that profitability will be higher for longer. Also, a partner-based commercialization strategy will reduce the funding requirement and support commercial launch around early 2026.

Disclaimer: HC Andersen Capital receives payment from Ascelia Pharma for a Digital IR/Corporate Visibility subscription agreement. /Claus Thestrup 3:50 PM 21-10-2024.

Ascelia Pharma

2,21SEK21.10.2024, 18.00

Ascelia Pharma er et svensk biotek selskab med fokus på behandling af sjældne kræftsygedomme. De udvikler og markedsfører nye lægemidler, hvor der er behov for bedre behandlingsmuligheder eller hvor der ikke findes muligheder for behandling i dag, og de har en klar go-to-market strategi. Ascelia Pharma har to kandidater i pipelinen, Orviglance og Oncoral. Orviglance er et nyt kontrastmiddel til MR-scanning, og udviklet til at forbedre opdagelsen og visualiseringen af fokale leverlæsioner(Inklusiv levermetastaser – og primære tumorer) hos patienter med nedsat lever funktion. Oncoral er en tablet med en potent anti-tumor effekt, der indtages på daglig basis. Oncoral har vist god effekt ved kræftformer der er svære at behandle, og en bedre virkning/bivirkningsprofil for patienten sammenlignet med intravenøs behandlinger med høj dose udført på et hospital. Ascelia Pharma er noteret på Nasdaq Small Cap Stockholm med ticker ACE.

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Forum opdateringer
Husk at læse hele vores research disclaimer på https://www.inderes.dk/disclaimer. Dansk: Ascelia Pharma er et svensk biotechselskab med fokus...
17.10.2022, 07.59
by Olivier A. de Goeij
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