Saab

A sensible structural move that reinforces the naval growth thesis and group level margin path.

The latest Polish agreements add no numbers to our model, but they reduce the risk of our long-term estimates turning out too optimistic.

With allied assets being targeted and another front line, there is a better argument for bigger, faster European replenishment. The question is timing.

Europe’s empty interceptor magazines do not generate GlobalEye demand, but they raise the marginal value of surveillance and command and control.

MoU signals intent, not revenue. It validates the ITAR-free sovereignty thesis, but the numbers are long-dated.

Stronger delivery momentum and upgraded targets, but the stock still prices in near flawless execution.

Outstandingly strong finish for the 2025 for Saab.

Europe’s defense sector is looking at a structural shift, with policy now pushing long-term rearmament and industrial capacity rather than a normal upcycle.

GlobalEye lands France: ~12.3 BSEK, with deliveries 2029-32.