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Qlosr Group

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Third party research12/3/2024, 12:02 PM

Qlosr: Solid Q3 delivery - ABG

Minor estimate revisions Subscription business performed well... ...despite a challenging market Q3 results better than expected Q3 revenue and EBITDA were 6% and 39% above our estimates, respectively. Even though the deviations are seemingly large in...

Qlosr Group
Third party research11/20/2024, 7:28 AM

Qlosr: Challenging conditions persist - ABG

We cut '24e-'26e adj. EBITDA by 13-9% Shareholders accept the large divestment '25e EV/EBITA ~5x What to expect in Q3'24e We expect Q3 total revenue of SEK 118m and EBITDA of SEK 4m. On a YTD basis, the company has announced contracts with an estimated...

Qlosr Group
Third party research9/4/2024, 6:27 AM

Qlosr: To close the subscription model chapter - ABG

'24e-'26e EBITDA cut by 7-8% Intends to divest the subscription businesses... ...to focus on hardware sales Q2 results and intended divestment Q2 revenue and adj. EBITDA were 26% and 28% below our estimates, respectively. The large deviations were driven...

Qlosr Group

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Third party research8/29/2024, 5:35 AM

Qlosr: Conditions remain largely unchanged - ABG

We cut '24e-'26e EBITDA by 17-9% Still expect meaningful share of hardware-related sales NTM EV/EBITA ~6x What to expect in Q2'24e We expect Q2 revenue of SEK 179m and EBITDA of SEK 8m. On a YTD basis, the company has announced contracts with an estimated...

Qlosr Group
Third party research5/24/2024, 6:57 AM

Qlosr: Expect a back-end-loaded 2024 - ABG

'24e-'26e EBITDA cut by 14-1% Near-term margin pressure driven by business transformation '24e EV/EBITA ~11x Q1 results Q1 revenue and adj. EBITDA were ~14% above and ~70% below our estimates, respectively. The large deviations were driven by an increased...

Qlosr Group
Third party research5/21/2024, 5:29 AM

Qlosr: Contract win momentum maintained - ABG

Minor estimate changes Solid pace of public procurement wins '24e EV/EBITA ~9x What to expect in Q1'24e We expect Q1 revenue of SEK 157m and EBITDA of SEK 9m. On a YTD basis, the company has announced contracts with an estimated order value of ~SEK 650m...

Qlosr Group
Third party research2/26/2024, 6:27 AM

Qlosr: Potential to improve in 2024 - ABG

'24e-'25e EBITDA cut by 36-19% Continued hardware sales to dilute margins '24e EV/EBITA ~9x Q4 results Q4 revenue and adj. EBITDA were ~7% below and ~60% below our estimates, respectively. This implies that Qlosr did not meet its targeted EBITDA margin...

Qlosr Group
Third party research2/23/2024, 8:09 AM

Qlosr: Q4'23: miss on sales and earnings - ABG

Adj. EBITDA ~60% below ABGSCe ACV growth of 3% q-o-q Negative consensus estimate revisions likely Q4'23 results Qlosr’s Q4’23 revenue came in at SEK 158m (-7% vs ABGSCe SEK 169m), implying 9% organic growth. The adj. gross margin amounted to 42.7%, which...

Qlosr Group
Third party research2/22/2024, 7:56 AM

Qlosr: Path ahead is not frictionless - ABG

We cut '23e-'25e adj. EBITDA by 15-2% Public sector weakness a drag on performance '24e EV/EBITA 4x What to expect in Q4'23e We expect Q4 revenue of SEK 169m and EBITDA of SEK 19m. These estimates imply cuts of ~2% and ~28%, respectively (albeit from...

Qlosr Group
Third party research11/27/2023, 9:24 AM

Qlosr: Back-end-loaded 2023 - ABG

'23e-'25e revenue cut by 3% '23e adj EBITA cut by 3%, '24e-'25e raised by 1% NTM EV/EBITA ~5x Q3 results Q3 revenue and adj. EBITDA were 11% below and 55% above our estimates, respectively. Qlosr's revenue was negatively impacted by lower demand for ...

Qlosr Group
Third party research11/24/2023, 7:46 AM

Qlosr: Set up for seasonally strong Q4 - ABG

Adj. EBITDA SEK 1.6m above ABGSCe ACV growth of 1% q-o-q Transformation to subscription model shows effect Q3'23 results Qlosr’s Q3’23 revenue came in at SEK 132m (-11% vs ABGSCe SEK 149m), implying a y-o-y total growth rate of 6% and an organic growth...

Qlosr Group
Third party research8/28/2023, 7:14 AM

Qlosr: The fun begins in H2'23e - ABG

'23 guidance: at least SEK 600m revenue with 7% EBITDA margin We cut '23e-'25e EBITDA by 20-7% NTM EV/EBITA ~10x Q2 results Q2 revenue and EBITDA were 6% above and 23% below our estimates, respectively. On revenue, the outcome beat our expectation by...

Qlosr Group
Third party research8/25/2023, 7:06 AM

Qlosr: Delivers on growth as costs increase - ABG

Revenue +6% vs. ABGSCe, EBITDA -23% vs. ABGSCe ACV growth of 3% q-o-q Targets 15-20% org. growth over time Q2'23 results Qlosr’s Q2’23 revenue came in at SEK 165.6m (+6% vs ABGSCe SEK 156.5m), implying a y-o-y total growth rate of 33% and an organic ...

Qlosr Group
Third party research8/22/2023, 9:46 AM

Qlosr: Setting up for earnings and cash flow in H2 - ABG

We cut '23e-'25e EBITDA by 5-1% Expect some additional implementation costs in Q2 '23e-'24e EV/EBITA 8-5x What to expect in Q2'23e We expect Q2 revenue SEK 156m and EBITDA of SEK 10m, respectively. These estimates imply cuts of ~2% and ~23%, respectively...

Qlosr Group
Third party research5/29/2023, 7:16 AM

Qlosr: Set to reap the rewards during the rest of '23e - ABG

We cut '23e-'25e EBITDA by 6-5% Upgraded growth guidance offset by higher implementation costs '23e EV/EBITA ~9x Q1 results Q1 revenue and EBITDA were 3% and 40% below our estimates, respectively. On net sales, the outcome was in line with our expectations...

Qlosr Group
Third party research5/26/2023, 6:37 AM

Qlosr: Impressive ACV growth bodes well for '23e - ABG

Sales -3% vs. ABGSCe ACV growth of 7% q-o-q Guides for SEK 650m 2023e revenue Q1'23 results Qlosr’s Q1’23 revenue came in at SEK 144m (-3% vs ABGSCe SEK 149m), implying a y-o-y total growth rate of 24% and an organic growth rate of ~5%. The gross margin...

Qlosr Group
Third party research3/1/2023, 6:48 AM

Qlosr: 2022 goal achieved, on to the next one - ABG

We cut '23e-'24e EBITDA by 3-6% Financial targets still achievable Positive outcomes in public and private tenders Q4 results Q4 total sales and EBITDA came in 14% and 13% below our estimates, respectively. The deviation is due to a previously optimistic...

Qlosr Group
Third party research2/24/2023, 8:15 AM

Qlosr: Solid quarter and '23 guidance - ABG

EBITDA -13% vs ABGSCe Guides for at least 10% ACV growth We expect cons. to make minor neg. revisions Q4 results Qlosr’s Q4’22 revenue came in at SEK 145.5m (-14% vs ABGSCe SEK 169m), implying a y-o-y total growth rate of 137%. The gross margin amounted...

Qlosr Group
Third party research10/5/2022, 5:50 AM

Qlosr: Growing bit by bit - ABG

Buy & build IT solutions business ’22e-24e adj. EBITA CAGR of 44% (excl. new M&A) Fair value range of SEK 4-11 Opportunities in a fragmented market Qlosr is a Swedish provider of IT solutions with an XaaS (Everything-as-a-Service) business model. The...

Qlosr Group
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