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Inderes’ Disclaimer can be found here. Detailed information about each share actively monitored by Inderes is available on the company-specific pages on Inderes’ website. © Inderes Oyj. All rights reserved.

Sampo: The share is still correctly priced

SAMPOResearch13.02.2023, 10.32
Sauli Vilén, Kasper Mellas
Discuss
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Sampo's Q4 result was a disappointment to the market as non-recurring items depressed the result and If’s result was soft. The Q4 report does not change the big picture, however. We revised our estimates upward slightly thanks to investment income that rose with interest levels but our view of the sum of the parts remains unchanged. The share still seems quite correctly priced and the expected return still relies mainly on dividends, which does not provide a sufficient risk/return ratio.

Sampo is the leading property and casualty insurance group in the Nordic region and a major operator in the growing digital P&C insurance market in the UK. Sampo Group has around 9 million customers, and it employs 15,000 people.  The Group’s insurance revenue totalled EUR 9.1 billion in 2025 of which the Nordic market represented 75 per cent. The Group’s operations are diversified by geography, line of business, and customer group. Sampo Group operates in Sweden, Norway, Finland, Denmark, the UK, and the Baltic countries. Its largest customer groups are private customers in the Nordics and in the UK, representing in total over 65 per cent of the Group's insurance revenue. The Group is also a leading provider of P&C insurance in Nordic commercial and industrial businesses.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures12.02.2023

202223e24e
Revenue10,726.29,585.69,983.6
growth-%10.1 %-10.6 %4.2 %
EBIT (adj.)1,725.01,747.31,819.9
EBIT-% (adj.)16.1 %18.2 %18.2 %
EPS (adj.)0.440.450.48
Dividend0.470.530.36
Dividend %5.3 %6.0 %4.2 %
P/E (adj.)20.119.418.2
EV/EBITDA11.811.911.6

Forum discussions

Pyysing has been writing about Sampo this time Sampo and other insurance stock shares in the Nordic countries also took a hit late in the week...
9/27/2026, 12:14 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
34
As I have said so many times, we are here for you after all! Antti and I regularly exchange thoughts on Sampo, and we have shared very similar...
9/27/2026, 8:23 AM
by Sauli Vilen
50
Thanks for taking the trouble, Sauli, to comment on the matter on the forum for the second time, even on a weekend! For comparison, I will quote...
9/27/2026, 5:57 AM
by Ju-ha-ni
47
During my 15-year tracking history, Sampo’s share has been drastically mispriced twice. In 2011-2012 (the aftermath of the financial crisis ...
9/27/2026, 5:24 AM
by Sauli Vilen
136
Sampo is the kind of stock that is always worth buying on the dips. I also believe Sampo is normally ”fairly” priced, but in dips like lemonade...
9/26/2026, 2:15 PM
by Ränta på ränta
52
[quote="Hassuttelija, post:7368, topic:692"] Well, Sampo at least scooped up a hefty amount from this sale itself, and they surely know their...
9/26/2026, 12:04 PM
by kimsku
34
Why didn’t all the big funds snap this up immediately, and why hasn’t the stock price already risen instead of still being available at a discount...
9/26/2026, 10:07 AM
by Hassuttelija
44