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Nokia: Valuation is modest with improved performance

NOKIAResearch27.01.2023, 08.00
Inderes
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Nokia ended the year with a strong earnings beat, and the turnaround that the company's strategy has been aiming for has been right on track for the past two years. The company's comparable operating profit has taken a leap from the previous level of around EUR 2 billion to over EUR 3 billion, while the quality of the result has improved due to reduced one-off items. Nokia's share valuation (2023e P/E 10x) looks low already considering the current performance, and with good execution of the strategy there is still room for earnings growth through both top-line growth and margin improvement.

Nokia is a global telecommunications company. The company offers solutions in IP, broadband, digital health, and cloud-based systems. The customers are found in a broad base of markets and consist of large corporate customers, authorities, and private consumers. The business is established on a global level in all regions. Nokia was founded in 1865 and the head office is located in Esbo, Finland.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures26.01.2023

202223e24e
Revenue24,911.025,772.825,880.6
growth-%12.2 %3.5 %0.4 %
EBIT (adj.)3,109.03,190.03,370.5
EBIT-% (adj.)12.5 %12.4 %13.0 %
EPS (adj.)0.440.430.45
Dividend0.120.180.22
Dividend %2.8 %2.3 %2.8 %
P/E (adj.)9.918.017.3
EV/EBITDA6.310.69.7

Forum discussions

You referred to Alok Tripathi in your comment. Here are a couple of excerpts from his reaction to Morris’s article. “Cell phones are also incredibly...
1 hour ago
by Stig Orrengrund
2
Nokia’s anyRAN architecture is fully O-RAN (Open RAN) compliant and cloud-native. This would hypothetically allow the US government to plug ...
1 hour ago
by Parabolic
2
I glanced through Inderes’ latest analysis, and I see the following matter quite differently. Nokia stated the following regarding AI target...
2 hours ago
by Lexus
21
The TowerCo advantage largely comes from the timeline. Scouting for a new cell site, permitting processes, and construction can take up to a...
3 hours ago
by Old Baker
2
I also thought it was a fairly balanced article. It probably makes sense to go talk to Musk, but "But Musk has a rather annoying habit of building...
12 hours ago
by Stig Orrengrund
2
In my opinion, the article also contained a great deal of positive news for Nokia, even though there was plenty of skepticism as well. Selected...
12 hours ago
by Mustathmir
10
Nokia didn’t go up, but the telcos dropped. Until it was realized that Starlink can’t manage on its own. After which the speculation started...
12 hours ago
by Stig Orrengrund
2