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Atria: Betydelige konsekvenser af svinepest, men resultatet vokser stadig

ATRAVAnalyst Comment07.08.2026, 08.13
Pauli LohiAnalyst
Discuss

Summary

  • Atria forventer en negativ effekt på EBIT på cirka 4-5 MEUR for indeværende år og cirka 7 MEUR på årsbasis på grund af afrikansk svinepest.
  • Eksporten af svinekødsprodukter kan fortsætte uden for EU, undtagen til Kina og Japan, hvor importrestriktioner er strenge.
  • Selskabet fastholder sine forventninger om, at EBIT for 2026 vil forbedres i forhold til 2025, med et estimat på 75 MEUR.
  • En større end forventet resultatpåvirkning fra svinepesten kan medføre et lille nedadgående pres på resultatestimaterne.

Dette indhold er genereret af AI. Du kan give feedback om det på Inderes forum.

Automatisk oversættelse: Oprindeligt udgivet på finsk 7.8.2026, 06.13 GMT. Giv feedback her.

Atria meddelte i dag om virkningerne af afrikansk svinepest på selskabets resultat. De økonomiske virkninger er lidt større end vores tidligere estimater. Selskabet forventer en negativ effekt på EBIT på cirka 4-5 MEUR for indeværende år og cirka 7 MEUR på årsbasis.

Estimaterne forudsætter, at eksporten af svinekødsprodukter kan fortsætte uden for EU, undtagen til Kina og Japan. Hvis ASF spreder sig til et bredere område eller til produktionsbesætninger, vil virkningerne på Atria også udvides.

I Kina og Japan er prisniveauet højere end på andre markeder, men disse lande er også strenge med importtilladelser og kræver typisk 2-3 års ASF-fri periode, før importen kan genoptages.

Det positive i meddelelsen var, at selskabet alligevel fastholdt sine forventninger om, at EBIT for 2026 vil forbedres i forhold til 2025 (70 MEUR). Vores seneste estimat for EBIT i 2026 er 75 MEUR. Den større end forventet indvirkning af svinepesten på resultatet kan medføre et lille, men ikke betydeligt, nedadgående pres på resultatestimaterne.

Atria is a food group. The group includes several players, the better known of which include Sibylla, Lithells and Ridderheims. The subsidiaries' operations include the production of liver pâté, meat and chicken products, and various finished products. The operations are conducted on a global level, mainly concentrated in the Nordic countries, the Baltics and Russia. The company was founded in 1903 and has its headquarters in Seinäjoki.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures22.07

202526e27e
Revenue1,813.81,899.91,953.3
growth-%3.3 %4.7 %2.8 %
EBIT (adj.)69.974.977.6
EBIT-% (adj.)3.9 %3.9 %4.0 %
EPS (adj.)1.611.771.82
Dividend0.750.780.80
Dividend %4.9 %4.9 %5.0 %
P/E (adj.)9.59.18.8
EV/EBITDA5.14.94.6

Forum discussions

Here are Pauli’s comments on Atria’s release regarding the impacts of swine fever. Inderes – 7 Aug 26 Atria: Sikaruton vaikutukset merkittäv...
8/7/2026, 8:10 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
3
Here are Pauli’s comments on African swine fever and its impact on Atria and HKFoods African swine fever found in Finnish wild boars will have...
7/31/2026, 8:31 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
2
A huge blow to the Finnish meat industry "Atria has activated its contingency plan and is currently not packing products for countries affected...
7/30/2026, 5:42 PM
by JTN
1
Swine fever has arrived in Finland. - Ruohola estimates that the biggest problems are related to the Chinese and Japanese markets. “It looks...
7/30/2026, 4:44 PM
by Sheikki
3
Here is Henri Elo’s article on Atria The company’s strategic target for return on equity is 12 percent. We wrote about the updated strategy ...
7/24/2026, 12:12 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
1
Here is a new company report on Atria from Pauli following the Q2 results Q2 strengthened our confidence in the company’s earnings growth through...
7/22/2026, 10:21 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
3
Here are Pauli’s comments on the Q2 result Atria reported its Q2 results today, which were stronger than expected in terms of both growth and...
7/22/2026, 7:13 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
5