companyName

extensiveId

feedTypes

includeDividend

includeEstimates

includeOverview

includeOwnership

includeResearchContent

researchId

snapshotDate

CompanyName_Query

companySlug

CompanyMetaData

Company_query

company

query CompanyName_Query(
  $companyName: String!
  $extensiveId: ID
  $snapshotDate: String
  $researchId: ID
  $includeResearchContent: Boolean!
  $feedTypes: [ContentType!]!
  $includeEstimates: Boolean!
  $includeOverview: Boolean!
  $includeOwnership: Boolean!
  $includeDividend: Boolean!
) {
  ...CompanyMetaData_Ux1x9
  ...Company_query_1TiJKa
}

fragment AnalystData on Analyst {
  name
  pageUrl
  jobTitle
  imgUrl
}

fragment AuthorList on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  id
  authors {
    __typename
    id
    name
    pageUrl
  }
}

fragment ChangePercentBlock_Company on Company {
  defaultInstrument {
    isin
    symbol
    priceData {
      diff1mPercentage
      diff1yPercentage
      diff3yPercentage
      diffFromStartPercentage
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment CompactFeed_3NXCcw on Query {
  compactFeed: feedContent(companySlug: $companyName, filter: {types: $feedTypes}) {
    edges {
      node {
        __typename
        id
        ...TeaserExtraCompact_content
        createdAt
        companies {
          viewerIsFollowing
          id
        }
      }
      cursor
    }
    pageInfo {
      endCursor
      hasNextPage
    }
  }
}

fragment CompanyAnalystQuery on Company {
  analysts {
    ...AnalystData
    name
    pageUrl
    jobTitle
    imgUrl
    id
  }
}

fragment CompanyCoverage_Company on Company {
  analysts {
    name
    id
  }
  isPayingCustomerOf
  isFormerCustomerOf
  isCorporateCustomer
  ...CompanyAnalystQuery
  defaultInstrument {
    ...TargetAndRecommendation_Company
    id
  }
}

fragment CompanyDescription_Company on Company {
  description
  websiteUrl
  name
}

fragment CompanyDisclaimer_query_Ux1x9 on Query {
  company(companySlug: $companyName) {
    name
    isPayingCustomerOf
    isFormerCustomerOf
    id
  }
}

fragment CompanyDividendER_query on Company {
  name
  defaultInstrument {
    estimateData {
      reportingCurrency
    }
    dividendTransactions: estimateTransactions(first: 1, includeQuarters: false) {
      actualized {
        year
        dividend
        dividendYield
        payoutPercentage
        sharePrice
      }
      estimates {
        year
        dividend
        dividendYield
        payoutPercentage
        sharePrice
      }
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment CompanyDividendNonER_query on Company {
  name
  defaultInstrument {
    nonERDividendSet: nonERCompanyNumberSet(includeQuarters: false) {
      year
      dividend
      dividendYield
      epsReported
      sharePrice
      currency
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment CompanyDividend_query_Ux1x9 on Query {
  company(companySlug: $companyName) {
    ...CompanyDividendER_query
    ...CompanyDividendNonER_query
    defaultInstrument {
      coreId
      id
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment CompanyFinancials_query_Ux1x9 on Query {
  company(companySlug: $companyName) {
    ...NonERCompanyNumbers_query
    ...CompanyNumbers_query
    defaultInstrument {
      coreId
      id
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment CompanyHeader_query_Ux1x9 on Query {
  company(companySlug: $companyName) {
    id
    companyInsref
    name
    viewerIsFollowing
    followersCount
    isCorporateCustomer
    hasPinpointData
    hasDividendHistory
    sector {
      sectorname
      industry
    }
    regions
    extensiveExists
    researchContentExists
    defaultInstrument {
      symbol
      priceData {
        tradeCurrency
        lastPrice
        diff1dPercentage
      }
      marketplace {
        name
      }
      estimates: estimateTransactions(first: 1, includeQuarters: false) {
        date
      }
      nonERCompanyNumberSet(first: 1, includeQuarters: false) {
        year
      }
      id
    }
    topOwners {
      holders {
        name
      }
    }
    transactions: insiderTransactions(filter: {types: [BUY, SELL, SUBSCRIPTION]}) {
      edges {
        node {
          date
          id
        }
      }
    }
  }
}

fragment CompanyInsiderTransactions on Company {
  name
  regions
  insiderTransactions(filter: {types: [BUY, EXERCISE_OF_SHARE_OPTION, PLEDGE, RECEPTION_OF_SHARE_PREMIUM, SELL, SUBSCRIPTION]}) {
    edges {
      node {
        insider
        position
        volume
        price
        date
        unit
        type
        relatedParty
        id
      }
    }
  }
}

fragment CompanyInvestorConsensus_query_Ux1x9 on Query {
  company(companySlug: $companyName) {
    name
    companyInsref
    id
  }
}

fragment CompanyMetaData_Ux1x9 on Query {
  company(companySlug: $companyName) {
    name
    description
    pageUrl
    defaultInstrument {
      estimateData {
        modelType
      }
      id
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment CompanyName_Slug on Company {
  slug
}

fragment CompanyNumbers_query on Company {
  name
  defaultInstrument {
    estimateData {
      modelType
      reportingCurrency
    }
    estimateTransactions(first: 1, includeQuarters: true) {
      comparisonIndexName
      actualized {
        year
        quarter
        revenue
        revenueGrowth
        ebitda
        ebitAdjusted
        ebitReported
        preTaxProfit
        netEarnings
        epsReported
        epsAdjusted
        dividend
        payoutPercentage
        roePercent
        roiPercent
        enterpriseValue
        bookValue
        marketCap
        gearingPercent
        equityRatio
        dividendYield
        totalCosts
        loanLosses
        balanceSheetTotal
        tangibleBook
        cet1
        rwa
        sharePrice
        sharesTotal
        nav
        navPerShare
        opexOfNav
        totalShareholderReturn
        comparisonIndexReturn
        netDebtTotalAsset
        quarterlySharePrice
      }
      estimates {
        year
        quarter
        revenue
        revenueGrowth
        ebitda
        ebitAdjusted
        ebitReported
        preTaxProfit
        netEarnings
        epsReported
        epsAdjusted
        dividend
        payoutPercentage
        roePercent
        roiPercent
        enterpriseValue
        bookValue
        marketCap
        gearingPercent
        equityRatio
        dividendYield
        totalCosts
        loanLosses
        balanceSheetTotal
        tangibleBook
        cet1
        rwa
        sharePrice
        sharesTotal
        nav
        navPerShare
        opexOfNav
        totalShareholderReturn
        comparisonIndexReturn
        netDebtTotalAsset
        quarterlySharePrice
      }
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment CompanyOverviewGraphs_query_Ux1x9 on Query {
  company(companySlug: $companyName) {
    defaultInstrument {
      estimateData {
        modelType
        reportingCurrency
      }
      companyTransactions: estimateTransactions(first: 1, includeQuarters: false) {
        actualized {
          year
          revenue
          ebitAdjusted
          epsAdjusted
          dividendYield
          navPerShare
          totalShareholderReturn
        }
        estimates {
          year
          revenue
          ebitAdjusted
          epsAdjusted
          dividendYield
          navPerShare
          totalShareholderReturn
        }
      }
      id
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment CompanyOwners on Company {
  regions
  topOwners {
    recordDate
    compareDate
    source
    holders {
      name
      capitalPercent
      votingPowerPercent
      positionChange
      totalSharesChange
      shareChange
      isNew
      isRemoved
    }
  }
}

fragment CompanyOwnership_query_Ux1x9 on Query {
  company(companySlug: $companyName) {
    name
    ...CompanyOwners
    ...CompanyInsiderTransactions
    id
  }
}

fragment CompanyPageBottom_query_2bVJwf on Query {
  ...GeneralFeed_data_3NXCcw
  ...CompactFeed_3NXCcw
  ...UpcomingEventsQuery_Ux1x9
  ...RiskRecommendMatrix_query_Ux1x9
  ...CompanyOverviewGraphs_query_Ux1x9
  ...NonERCompanyOverviewGraphs_query_Ux1x9
  company(companySlug: $companyName) {
    companyInsref
    ...ForumUpdates_Company
    defaultInstrument {
      coreId
      id
    }
    id
  }
  allFeed: feedContent(first: 1, companySlug: $companyName, filter: {hideUpcomingVideos: true}) {
    edges {
      node {
        __typename
        id
      }
    }
  }
  main: feedContent(first: 1, companySlug: $companyName, filter: {hideUpcomingVideos: true, types: [COMPANY_REPORT, EXTENSIVE_COMPANY_REPORT, ANALYST_COMMENT, VIDEO, ARTICLE]}) {
    edges {
      node {
        __typename
        id
      }
    }
  }
  webcasts: feedContent(first: 1, companySlug: $companyName, filter: {hideUpcomingVideos: true, types: [WEBCAST]}) {
    edges {
      node {
        __typename
        id
      }
    }
  }
  thirdPartyResearch: feedContent(first: 1, companySlug: $companyName, filter: {types: [THIRD_PARTY_COMPANY_REPORT]}) {
    edges {
      node {
        __typename
        id
      }
    }
  }
  releases: feedContent(first: 1, companySlug: $companyName, filter: {types: [STOCK_EXCHANGE_RELEASE, PRESS_RELEASE]}) {
    edges {
      node {
        __typename
        id
      }
    }
  }
}

fragment CompanyPageTop_query_Ux1x9 on Query {
  ...StockChart_ChartQuery_Ux1x9
  ...LatestReports_query_Ux1x9
  company(companySlug: $companyName) {
    isFund
    name
    ...CompanyCoverage_Company
    ...CompanyName_Slug
    ...CompanyDescription_Company
    ...FundNumbers_Company
    ...ChangePercentBlock_Company
    ...KeyEstimateFigures_Company
    ...InvestmentCompanyKeyFigures_Company
    defaultInstrument {
      id
      estimateData {
        modelType
      }
    }
    analysts {
      name
      id
    }
    id
  }
  extensiveReport: feedContent(first: 1, companySlug: $companyName, filter: {types: [EXTENSIVE_COMPANY_REPORT]}) {
    edges {
      node {
        __typename
        id
      }
    }
  }
  analysis: feedContent(first: 1, companySlug: $companyName, filter: {types: [COMPANY_REPORT, EXTENSIVE_COMPANY_REPORT], tagNames_nin: ["Mallisalkku", "Arvonluojat"]}) {
    edges {
      node {
        __typename
        id
      }
    }
  }
  analysisArvonluojat: feedContent(first: 1, companySlug: $companyName, filter: {types: [COMPANY_REPORT, EXTENSIVE_COMPANY_REPORT], tagNames_nin: ["Mallisalkku"]}) {
    edges {
      node {
        __typename
        id
      }
    }
  }
}

fragment CompanyTagList on Company {
  pageUrl
  name
  viewerIsFollowing
}

fragment Company_query_1TiJKa on Query {
  ...CompanyHeader_query_Ux1x9
  ...CompanyOwnership_query_Ux1x9 @include(if: $includeOwnership)
  ...CompanyFinancials_query_Ux1x9 @include(if: $includeEstimates)
  ...CompanyDividend_query_Ux1x9 @include(if: $includeDividend)
  ...CompanyInvestorConsensus_query_Ux1x9
  ...CompanyPageTop_query_Ux1x9 @include(if: $includeOverview)
  ...CompanyPageBottom_query_2bVJwf @include(if: $includeOverview)
  ...CompanyDisclaimer_query_Ux1x9
  ...Extensive_query_3u4Ry5
  ...ResearchContent_query_14bL89
}

fragment Extensive_query_3u4Ry5 on Query {
  company(companySlug: $companyName) {
    extensive(extensiveId: $extensiveId, snapshotDate: $snapshotDate) {
      publishedAt
      pageUrl
      pdfUrl
      content {
        id
        title
        lang
        slug
        htmlBody
        publishedAt
        createdAt
        changedAt
        isOutdated
      }
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment ForumUpdates_Company on Company {
  name
  forum {
    threadUrl
    highlightedPosts {
      url
      author
      authorImgUrl
      text
      postedAt
      likesCount
    }
  }
}

fragment FundNumbers_Company on Company {
  defaultInstrument {
    isin
    symbol
    priceData {
      lastPrice
      ath
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment GeneralFeed_data_3NXCcw on Query {
  generalFeed: feedContent(first: 20, companySlug: $companyName, filter: {types: $feedTypes}) {
    edges {
      node {
        __typename
        id
        ...Teaser_content
        ...TeaserCompact_content
      }
      cursor
    }
    pageInfo {
      endCursor
      hasNextPage
    }
  }
}

fragment InvestmentCompanyKeyFigures_Company on Company {
  marketData {
    marketCap
  }
  defaultInstrument {
    priceData {
      tradeCurrency
      dailyTurnover
    }
    estimateData {
      modelType
    }
    estimateTransactions(first: 1, includeQuarters: true) {
      actualized {
        year
        quarter
        sharesTotal
        marketCap
        nav
        navPerShare
        dividendYield
        quarterlySharePrice
      }
      estimates {
        year
        quarter
        dividendYield
      }
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment KeyEstimateFigures_Company on Company {
  marketData {
    marketCap
  }
  defaultInstrument {
    priceData {
      tradeCurrency
      dailyTurnover
      lastPrice
      marketCap
    }
    sector
    fundamentalData {
      ebit
      eps
      sales
      dividend
    }
    estimateData {
      modelType
      estimates {
        firstEstimateYear {
          year
          bookValue
          netSales
          dividendA
          epsAdjusted
          ebitAdjusted
          hybridLoan
          noOfShares
          netDebt
          mvMinorities
          mvAssociated
          roePercent
        }
      }
    }
    estimatesSharePrice: estimateTransactions(first: 1) {
      estimates {
        sharePrice
      }
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment LatestReports_query_Ux1x9 on Query {
  extensiveReport: feedContent(first: 1, companySlug: $companyName, filter: {types: [EXTENSIVE_COMPANY_REPORT]}) {
    edges {
      node {
        __typename
        createdAt
        pageUrl
        id
      }
    }
  }
  analysis: feedContent(first: 1, companySlug: $companyName, filter: {types: [COMPANY_REPORT, EXTENSIVE_COMPANY_REPORT], tagNames_nin: ["Mallisalkku", "Arvonluojat"]}) {
    edges {
      node {
        __typename
        createdAt
        pageUrl
        id
      }
    }
  }
  analysisArvonluojat: feedContent(first: 1, companySlug: $companyName, filter: {types: [COMPANY_REPORT, EXTENSIVE_COMPANY_REPORT], tagNames_nin: ["Mallisalkku"]}) {
    edges {
      node {
        __typename
        createdAt
        pageUrl
        id
      }
    }
  }
}

fragment NonERCompanyNumbers_query on Company {
  name
  defaultInstrument {
    nonERNumberSet: nonERCompanyNumberSet(includeQuarters: true) {
      year
      quarter
      revenue
      ebitda
      ebitReported
      epsReported
      dividend
      sharesTotal
      roe
      roi
      enterpriseValue
      marketCap
      gearingRatio
      equityRatio
      dividendYield
      sharePrice
      currency
      evSales
      evEbitda
      evEbit
      pb
      netIncome
      ptp
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment NonERCompanyOverviewGraphs_query_Ux1x9 on Query {
  company(companySlug: $companyName) {
    defaultInstrument {
      overviewGraphsData: nonERCompanyNumberSet(includeQuarters: false) {
        year
        revenue
        ebitReported
        epsReported
        dividend
        dividendYield
        currency
      }
      id
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment Reactions on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  id
  reactionGroups {
    reactionType
    reactionsCount
    viewerReacted
  }
}

fragment ResearchContent_query_14bL89 on Query {
  company(companySlug: $companyName) {
    slug
    researchContentFeed @include(if: $includeResearchContent) {
      __typename
      id
      ...Teaser_content
    }
    researchContentIds @include(if: $includeResearchContent)
    researchContent(researchId: $researchId) @include(if: $includeResearchContent) {
      researchId
      researchTitle
      publishedAt
      pageUrl
      content {
        id
        title
        lang
        slug
        htmlBody
        publishedAt
        createdAt
        changedAt
        isOutdated
      }
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment RiskRecommendMatrix_query_Ux1x9 on Query {
  company(companySlug: $companyName) {
    defaultInstrument {
      riskData: estimateTransactions(first: 1) {
        businessRisk
        valuationRisk
      }
      id
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment StockChart_ChartQuery_Ux1x9 on Query {
  company(companySlug: $companyName) {
    isFund
    defaultInstrument {
      coreId
      id
      marketOpen
      marketClose
      marketplace {
        region
      }
      priceData {
        lastPrice
      }
      returns {
        day
        week
        month
        threeMonths
        sixMonths
        year
        threeYears
        fiveYears
        tenYears
        ytd
        total
      }
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment TargetAndRecommendation_Company on Instrument {
  estimateData {
    modelType
    researchCurrency
    estimates {
      date
      recommendation
      targetPrice
    }
  }
}

fragment TeaserCompact_content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  __typename
  id
  type
  title
  createdAt
  isPremium
  pageUrl
  lang
  companies {
    ...CompanyTagList
    id
  }
  ... on Video {
    liveTime
  }
  ... on Webcast {
    liveTime
  }
  ...AuthorList
}

fragment TeaserExtraCompact_content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  id
  title
  createdAt
  pageUrl
  lang
  companies {
    name
    pageUrl
    viewerIsFollowing
    id
  }
}

fragment Teaser_content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  __typename
  id
  type
  title
  createdAt
  pageUrl
  imgUrl
  isPremium
  lang
  companies {
    ...CompanyTagList
    id
  }
  publishers {
    imgUrl
  }
  authors {
    __typename
    id
  }
  ... on AnalystComment {
    preview
  }
  ... on Article {
    preview
  }
  ... on CompanyReport {
    preview
  }
  ... on ThirdPartyCompanyReport {
    preview
  }
  ... on QA {
    preview
  }
  ... on Video {
    preview
    liveTime
    videoDuration
  }
  ... on Webcast {
    preview
    liveTime
  }
  ...AuthorList
  ...Reactions
}

fragment UpcomingEventsQuery_Ux1x9 on Query {
  company(companySlug: $companyName) {
    defaultInstrument {
      calendarEvents(first: 10) {
        edges {
          node {
            date
            type
            period
            id
          }
        }
      }
      id
    }
    id
  }
}


name

description

pageUrl

defaultInstrument

companyInsref

viewerIsFollowing

followersCount

isCorporateCustomer

hasPinpointData

hasDividendHistory

sector

regions

extensiveExists

researchContentExists

topOwners

insiderTransactions

isPayingCustomerOf

isFormerCustomerOf

extensive

slug

feedContent

Metsä Board

Metsä Board Oyj: Invitation to Metsä Board's Q1 2026 results presentation and Lead the Pack strategy update

UPM-Kymmene

Stora Enso

Koskisen

Konsensusestimaterne for skovbrugsselskaberne fortsatte med at falde, før krigen i Iran brød ud

Metsä Board: De kommende år fokuseres der på det grundlæggende med moderate finansielle mål

Metsä Board Oyj: Resolutions of Metsä Board Corporation's Annual General Meeting and Board of Directors' Assembly Meeting

Metsä Board Oyj: METSÄ BOARD'S NEW STRATEGY AND FINANCIAL TARGETS FOR 2026-2030

Metsä Board Oyj: Progress in climate action: Metsä Board publishes Sustainability Review 2025 and Green Debt Report 2025

Metsä Board Oyj: Metsä Board introduces a new product and service concept for fast moving brand packaging in Europe

Metsä Board Oyj: Metsä Board's Annual Review 2025 has been published

Metsä Board Oyj: Metsä Board to open new Packaging Design Studio in Milan in summer 2026

Metsä Board Q4'25: Optimismen er stadig skrøbelig

Metsä Board, Financial Statements Bulletin for 2025

Metsä Board Oyj: Metsä Board completes acquisition of the Winschoten Sheeting and Distribution Hub

Metsä Board Oyj: Notice of the Annual General Meeting of Metsä Board Corporation

Metsä Board Oyj: Metsä Board's comparable operating result in January-December 2025 was EUR -80 million

Mandatum

Fortum

Nordea Bank

Verkkokauppa.com

Arvo Sijoitusosuuskunta

Terveystalo

Pihlajalinna

Oriola

Fiskars

Titanium

Udbytteudsigter 2026: Børsens udbytteafkast falder

Metsä Board Q4'25 preview: Forventningerne er faldet til et lavpunkt, men situationen warrants stadig forsigtighed

Metsä Board Oyj: Metsä Board to acquire a Sheeting and Distribution Hub in the Netherlands

Metsä Board Oyj: CORRECTION: Invitation to Metsä Board's webcast presentation of 2025 results on 5 FEBRUARY 2026 at 3 pm EET

Metsä Board Oyj: Invitation to Metsä Board's webcast presentation of 2025 results on 5 January 2026 at 3:00 pm EET

Metsä Board Oyj: Metsä Board Äänekoski's board machine KK1 and the current board mill celebrate their 60th anniversary

Metsä Board Oyj: Change in the publication date of Metsä Board's 2026 Half-Year Financial Report

Metsä Board Oyj: Metsä Board Corporation establishes share-based incentive schemes for 2026-2030

Metsä Board Oyj: Changes in Metsä Board's Corporate Leadership Team

Metsä Board Oyj: Albert Ulla appointed VP, Kaskinen Mill

Metsä Board Oyj: Metsä Board is the only Nordic company to achieve CDP's Triple A rating for leadership in environmental transparency and performance

Head of Research

Antti Viljakainen

NASDAQ Helsinki

Metsä Board is a manufacturing company active in the paper and pulp industry. The company is a manufacturer of cartons made of forest fiber. The products are used for consumer and food products. In addition to the production of cartons, the company offers services related to technical analysis and design development. The company is most active in the European market. Metsä Board´s head office is located in Espoo, Finland.

Det er utroligt, hvor bange virksomheder er for en midlertidig udbyttenedsættelse. I år udbetaler Stora næsten 200 mio. i udbytte, og samtidig tager de et hybridlån. Udbyttet burde have været undladt for at styrke balancen.

Interessant gennemgang af Umpin og dets udsigter. Det er også værd at bemærke analysen af værdien af UPM’s forskellige dele: biokemi (Leuna osv.) er nul, da der ikke er nogen garanti for afkast, og på den anden side bemærkes det, at energiproduktion er betydeligt underprissat sammenlignet med f.eks. Fortum. Virksomheder, der vinder på energiuroen i krigene i Iran og Ukraine. Analysen slutter med en  samlet vurdering og anbefaling: Køb.                   placera.se              UPM-Kymmene: Köpvärd på egna meriter? | Placera.se    UPM är en finsk skogsjätte med en stor industrirörelse samt egen skog och kraftproduktion. Bolaget är sannolikt en vinnare på den pågående energikrisen. Det verkar tyvärr redan vara inprisat i aktien. Men det framstår ändå som aktien är köpvärd på...

Mørke skyer samler sig over Joutseno ”Historien i dette område har vist, at lange produktionsstop og fyringer ofte efterfølges af fabrikslukninger.”                   Metsälehti              Käynnistyykö Joutseno vielä? – "Eihän tilanne hyvältä näytä" - Metsälehti    Moni pelkää, että Metsä Fibren Joutsenon sellutehdasta ei enää käynnistetä maaliskuun lopussa alkaneen tuotantoseisokin jälkeen.

Her er Viljakainens kommentarer til, hvordan Stora Enso overvejer at styrke balancen med et hybridlån  Stora Enso meddelte onsdag, at de overvejer at udstede et eurodenomineret og kreditvurderet hybridlån afhængigt af markedsforholdene. Vi betragter meddelelsen som en noget negativ overraskelse, da vi ikke havde forventet, at selskabet havde behov for at styrke balancen med dyrere egenkapitalbaseret finansiering. I vores prognoser skulle selskabets balanceposition allerede stabilisere sig efter et fald i investeringer og en let forbedring af indtjeningsgraden. Derfor indikerer det nye hybridlån efter vores mening et større pres end vores vurdering for at opretholde kreditvurderingen og også et fortsat udfordrende driftsmiljø.                   Inderes              Stora Enso harkitsee yllättäen taseensa vahvistamista hybridilainalla - Inderes    Yllättävä hybridilainasuunnitelma on melko kallis tapa tukea tasetta. Se luo todennäköisesti laskupainetta Stora Enson lähivuosien tulosennusteisiimme.

GS starter overvågning, UPM ‘Neutral’, Stora ‘Sælg’ (8,0 €)  Goldmans mest pessimistiske vurdering er Stora Enso, hvor et kursmål på 8,0 € indikerer en nedside på 16 %. Mæglerhuset ligger 12-17 % under konsensus for EBITDA i 2026-27 og argumenterer for, at virksomhedens nye Oulu consumer board-fabrik på 750.000 ton vil starte produktionen lige når kinesiske eksportmængder omdirigeres til Europa efter amerikanske toldsatser. “Med det amerikanske marked stort set isoleret af indførelsen af nye toldsatser, mener vi, at en betydelig del af disse eksporter vil strømme til Europa, hvilket vil lægge yderligere pres på markedet,” sagde Goldman-analytikere. Stora handles til 8,7x 2026/27 EV/EBITDA, en præmie på 12 % i forhold til dets historiske gennemsnit, hvilket Goldman beskrev som stramt. Blandt de neutralt vurderede aktier handles UPM 13 % over sit historiske gennemsnit med omkostningskurveeksponering over for blødttræsmasse;  https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/goldman-sachs-starts-european-paper-stocks-with-buy-on-sig-smurfit-sells-stora-4577176

Spørgsmålet er meget relevant, og jeg vil næsten udvide det til udbyttebeslutningen for 2024. På det tidspunkt var balancen mindst lige så presset ud fra nøgletallet nettogæld/EBITDA, som er det økonomiske mål og den primære matrix for kreditorer.  Gælden vil naturligvis blive fordelt mellem begge selskaber. Dette er en meget kompleks proces, som påvirkes af flere spørgsmål, lige fra forretningsområdernes evne til at betale gælden til virksomhedens valg, og fra beskatning til begrænsninger pålagt af kreditorerne. CMD gav indtryk af, at udgangspunktet er, at begge selskaber vil få nettogæld. Det er dog ikke sikkert, at alle gældskomponenter vil blive fordelt til begge selskaber. Jeg vil sige, at emballageforretningen med sin nuværende indtjeningsevne og cash flow-profil samt udsigterne for disse ikke bærer en særlig tung gældsbyrde. “Skovselskabet” ville derimod bedre kunne bære gæld på baggrund af sin balance (jf. typiske LTV-niveauer inden for ejendomsinvestering). Afkastet på aktiver er dog lavt i “skovselskabet”, så brugen af meget dyr gæld til at finansiere “skovselskabet” ville efter min mening være tvivlsom, i hvert fald på længere sigt.

Virkningen af en mulig lukning af Joutseno på pulpwoodmarkedet er allerede stort set indregnet i de nuværende priser, da den primært har været lukket ned i det seneste år. Og UPM’s og SE’s papirfabrikker har også kørt med underkapacitet. Alligevel er pulpwoodpriserne 20-25% højere end før krigen, og priserne på alle kvaliteter er steget igen de seneste 3-6 uger. Det bliver interessant at se UPM’s Q1-resultat. Er den finske celluloseproduktion blevet rentabel igen, og hvad var kapacitetsudnyttelsen i Q1?

Metsäliitto Cooperative

Varma Mutual Pension Insurance Company

Daniel Vähä-Antila

Metsä Board

3,06 EUR

+2,96 %