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Analytikerkommentar

Hafnia Q3 2025 - Solid results in line with consensus driven by tighter vessel supply

Af Philip CoombesEquity Research Analyst
Hafnia

Oversigt

  • Hafnia's Q3 2025 financial results showed TCE income of USD 247.0m, slightly above Q2 2025 and in line with market expectations, driven by reduced vessel supply and increased output from the Middle East and Asia.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was USD 150.5m, slightly below the consensus of USD ~151.6m, but showed sequential improvement despite increased drydock activity.
  • Net profit for Q3 2025 was USD 91.5m, aligning closely with consensus estimates of USD ~92m, and the dividend was set at USD 0.147 per share, reflecting an 80% payout ratio.
  • Hafnia's net asset value at the end of Q3 2025 was USD 3.4bn, with a net loan-to-value ratio improvement to 20.5%, and the company announced a pending acquisition of 14.5% of TORM for USD 311m.

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Hafnia this morning released its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, which came in slightly above Q2 2025 and broadly in line with market expectations. The product tanker market benefited in Q3 from larger LR2 vessels switching to the crude market, reducing supply, while attacks on Russian oil refineries reduced availability of Russian oil products, increasing output from the Middle East and Asia, with a positive ton mile effect.

Hafnia reported TCE income of USD 247.0m in Q3 2025, compared to USD 231.2m in Q2 2025 and USD 361.6m in Q3 2024, when product tanker rates were significantly higher.

Adjusted EBITDA came in at USD 150.5m versus USD 134.2m in Q2 2025 and USD 257.0m in Q3 2024, reflecting sequential improvement despite heavier drydock activity. According to S&P Capital IQ, consensus among analysts was USD ~151.6m, placing the result marginally below expectations.

Net profit for Q3 2025 amounted to USD 91.5m, compared to USD 75.3m in Q2 2025 and USD 215.6m in Q3 2024. The result was broadly in line with consensus estimates of USD ~92m.

The dividend for Q3 2025 has been set at USD 0.147 per share (total USD 73.2m), corresponding to a payout ratio of 80%, up from USD 0.121 per share in Q2 2025. At the end of the quarter, Hafnia’s net asset value (NAV) stood at USD 3.4bn (USD 6.76/share), while its net loan-to-value ratio improved to 20.5% from 24.1% in Q2, supported by strong cash generation and vessel repayments. In September, Hafnia also announced its agreement to acquire 14.5% of TORM from Oaktree Capital for USD 311m, a transaction pending regulatory and governance approvals.

You can read the full Q3 report from Hafnia here: https://investor.hafnia.com/financials/quarterly-results/default.aspx

Tomorrow, on 02 December at 10:00 CET, we are hosting an event with Hafnia’s CEO Mikael Skov, where you can hear more about the quarter and ask questions to management – registration below. Register here: https://www.inderes.dk/videos/hafnia-presentation-of-the-quarterly-report-for-q3-2025

Disclaimer: HC Andersen Capital receives payment from Hafnia for a Digital IR/Corporate Visibility agreement./Philip Coombes, 08:48, 1 December 2025

Hafnia er et internationalt rederi med speciale i transport af olie- og kemikalieprodukter. Aktien startede oprindeligt med at handle i Norge på NOTC-markedspladsen for unoterede aktier i 2013. I 2019 blev Hafnia noteret på hovedmarkedet i Norge – Oslo Børs. Selskabet, der har hovedkontor i Singapore, opererer på produkttankmarkedet, hvor man administrerer 6 såkaldte pools - altså puljer af tankskibe, hvoraf nogle ejes af Hafnia selv imens andre ejes af eksterne parter. Herved opnås en række stordriftsfordele, og puljerne fordeler overskud/tab på alle skibe i puljen, imens Hafnia opkræver provision for drift af eksternt ejede tankskibe. Hafnias 6 pools er kategoriseret efter fartøjsstørrelse/-type og afspejler den flåde af fartøjer Hafnia selv ejer. De 6 pools er: Handy Pool, MR Pool, LR Pool, LR2 Pool, Specialized Pool og Chemicals Pool. MR- og LR-puljerne er betydeligt større end Handy- og Specialized-puljerne med hensyn til omsætning og flådestørrelse. Hafnias puljer er primært aktive på spotmarkedet for produkttankskibe, men er også for nylig gået ind i markedet med kemikalietankskibe. Derudover indkøber Hafnia bunkerbrændstoffet til sine partnere til konkurrencedygtige priser, som det modtager provision for.

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