Copyright © Inderes 2011 - present. All rights reserved.
  • Latest
  • Markets
    • Stock Comparison
    • Financial Calendar
    • Dividends Calendar
    • Research
    • Articles
  • inderesTV
  • Forum
  • About Us
    • Our Coverage
    • Team
Third party research

Avensia: Weak end to 2022 - ABG

Avensia

This is a third party research report and does not necessarily reflect our views or values

Download report (PDF)
Weak Q4 due to a soft end market
We lower '23e-'24e EBIT by 56-44%
Market to remain sluggish in the coming quarters


Q4 sales -2% y-o-y, -10% vs. ABGSCe

Going into Q4, we had assumed further decelerating sales growth, reflecting the trajectory in recent quarters together with a tougher end market. Even so, utilisation in Q4 was worse than expected, as sales of SEK 112m (-2% y-o-y) were -10% vs. ABGSCe. Based on data from Ework on hourly prices, we calculate that Avensia's utilisation fell 27% y-o-y (vs. -14% y-o-y in Q3), as its headcount grew 18% y-o-y. According to our model, this was the first time since Q2'12 that Avensia saw lower sales y-o-y. Meanwhile, adj. opex rose 15% y-o-y, resulting in an adj. EBIT of SEK -10m (vs. SEK 11m in Q4'21). This was well below our forecast of SEK 7m. Avensia saw several NRIs in the quarter, including SEK 7m in costs for implementing a new ERP system, and provisioning for bad debt of SEK 3m. We believe that the latter relates to Indiska. On a positive note, however, Avensia said that it saw a slightly improved market at the end of the quarter. Even so, we expect the market to remain sluggish in the coming quarters.
Find us on social media
  • Inderes Forum
  • Youtube
  • Facebook
  • X (Twitter)
Get in touch
  • info@hcandersencapital.dk
  • Bredgade 23B, 2. sal
    1260 København K
Inderes
  • About us
  • Our team
  • Careers
  • Inderes as an investment
  • Services for listed companies
Our platform
  • FAQ
  • Terms of service
  • Privacy policy
  • Disclaimer
Inderes’ Disclaimer can be found here. Detailed information about each share actively monitored by Inderes is available on the company-specific pages on Inderes’ website. © Inderes Oyj. All rights reserved.