contentSlug

type

ContentSlug_ContentQuery

slug

ContentPageContentQuery

content

trendingContent

query ContentSlug_ContentQuery(
  $contentSlug: String!
  $type: [ContentType!]
) {
  ...ContentPageContentQuery_13QmVO
}

fragment CompanyDetails_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  companies {
    name
    description
    pageUrl
    id
  }
}

fragment ContentBasicInfo on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  id
  type
  title
  lang
  companies {
    viewerIsFollowing
    id
    name
    pageUrl
  }
  tags {
    viewerIsFollowing
    id
    name
    pageUrl
  }
  ...PublishingDetails
  ...Reactions
}

fragment ContentMetadata on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  type
  title
  lang
  pageUrl
  alternatePageUrls: translations {
    __typename
    pageUrl
    lang
  }
  imgUrl
  description
  ... on Video {
    liveTime
    videoUrl
  }
  ... on Webcast {
    liveTime
    videoUrl
  }
}

fragment ContentPageContentQuery_13QmVO on Query {
  content(slug: $contentSlug, type: $type) {
    __typename
    id
    type
    title
    isPremium
    lang
    htmlBody
    summary
    companies {
      forum {
        latestPosts {
          ...ForumPosts
        }
      }
      name
      id
      viewerIsFollowing
      pageUrl
      defaultInstrument {
        isin
        id
        marketOpen
        marketClose
        marketplace {
          region
        }
        returns {
          total
        }
      }
    }
    tags {
      viewerIsFollowing
      id
      name
      pageUrl
    }
    createdAt
    ... on Video {
      liveTime
    }
    ... on Webcast {
      liveTime
    }
    slug
    ... on CompanyReport {
      reportUrl
    }
    ... on ThirdPartyCompanyReport {
      reportUrl
    }
    ... on StockExchangeRelease {
      reportUrl
    }
    ...ContentBasicInfo
    ...ContentMetadata
    ...PriceAndRecommendation_Content
    ...CompanyDetails_Content
    ...ReportLink_Content
    ...KeyFigures_Content
  }
  ...TrendingContent_1jQ2Cn
}

fragment ForumPosts on ForumPost {
  text
  likesCount
  url
  author
  postedAt
  authorImgUrl
}

fragment KeyFigures_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  companies {
    defaultInstrument {
      estimateData {
        modelType
        reportingCurrency
      }
      snapshot {
        transaction {
          date
          actualized {
            year
            quarter
            revenue
            revenueGrowth
            ebitAdjusted
            ebitReported
            ebitda
            enterpriseValue
            epsAdjusted
            dividend
            dividendYield
            sharePrice
          }
          estimates {
            year
            quarter
            revenue
            revenueGrowth
            ebitAdjusted
            ebitReported
            ebitda
            enterpriseValue
            epsAdjusted
            dividend
            dividendYield
            sharePrice
          }
        }
      }
      id
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment PriceAndRecommendation_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  createdAt
  companies {
    name
    pageUrl
    defaultInstrument {
      priceData {
        tradeCurrency
      }
      snapshot {
        priceData {
          date
          lastPrice
          tradeCurrency
        }
        transaction {
          date
          recommendation
          targetPrice
        }
        prevTransaction {
          recommendation
        }
      }
      id
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment PublishingDetails on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  createdAt
  publishers {
    name
    imgUrl
  }
  authors {
    __typename
    id
    name
    slug
    imgUrl
    jobTitle
  }
  ... on Video {
    liveTime
  }
  ... on Webcast {
    liveTime
  }
}

fragment Reactions on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  id
  reactionGroups {
    reactionType
    reactionsCount
    viewerReacted
  }
}

fragment ReportLink_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  type
  isPremium
  ... on CompanyReport {
    reportUrl
  }
  ... on ThirdPartyCompanyReport {
    reportUrl
  }
  ... on StockExchangeRelease {
    reportUrl
  }
}

fragment TrendingContent_1jQ2Cn on Query {
  trendingContent(type: ARTICLE) {
    __typename
    id
    title
    lang
    pageUrl
    createdAt
    type
    imgUrl
    companies {
      squareLogoUrl
      name
      id
    }
    authors {
      __typename
      imgUrl
      id
    }
    publishers {
      imgUrl
    }
  }
}


__typename

title

isPremium

lang

htmlBody

summary

companies

createdAt

publishers

authors

reactionGroups

pageUrl

translations

imgUrl

description

Head of Research

Antti Viljakainen

Valmet supplies technologies, automation and lifecycle services to process industries globally, including pulp, paper and energy. The company operates globally and supports customers from initial capital equipment delivery through decades of operation. Its business model is based on a large installed base, long-term customer relationships and recurring services.

Severn’s valves are primarily targeted at the oil and gas sector. By all indications, the share of the energy sector in Valmet’s business is growing. As an additional note, Valmet will be capable of creating fully integrated e-fuel production alongside pulp mills in the future. In addition to wood combustion, pulp mills are key sources of biogenic carbon dioxide, and it is difficult to see any other economically viable alternatives for biogenic CO2 than the wood industry and biogas. Furthermore, hydrogen just needs to be produced, which can happily be left as another company’s concern.

Noteworthy perspectives on the valve market:  Demand stability The ability of valves to create value for the customer:  “Valve businesses create value through technical excellence (reliability, customization, quality), digital innovation (smart valves, predictive maintenance via IoT), strategic services (aftermarket support, digitization for clients), ESG compliance (sustainable practices, better coatings)” Valves account for a small share of the customer’s total investment, so the customer does not spend an excessive amount of effort trying to drive the price down.

Yep, the valve market is very fragmented (i.e. there is a double-digit number of at least regionally relevant players), unlike the forest industry equipment business, which is practically (nearly) consolidated to the hilt.

Even Neles’ product portfolio wasn’t perfect. Valmet has been among the market leaders in certain industries, such as the pulp and paper and industrial gas sectors. But in areas like oil and gas refining, for instance, Valmet has not been a market leader in valves, but rather somewhere around the top 10. Severn’s products seem to hit exactly that segment and will certainly strengthen Valmet’s offering. Additionally, Severn will bring more production capacity and new sales channels.

Indeed. In practice, growth is more difficult in the forest industry due to the duopoly, but there is certainly room for consolidation in valves.

Now if only I understood how this acquisition of Severn fits in? Valmet already bought Neles, which also manufactures valves. Is Valmet aiming to become the world’s leading valve manufacturer?

Here are Viljakainen’s comments on Valmet’s latest acquisition.  Valmet announced on Monday that it has signed an agreement to acquire the industrial valve manufacturer Severn Group. The acquisition is relatively large for Valmet’s scale and strengthens Valmet’s strategically important Flow Control business. In our view, the purchase price is not particularly cheap, and we believe the deal’s value creation is based especially on synergies between the companies and the profitable growth of Severn as part of Valmet. The transaction is expected to be completed in Q2’26. We will include the acquisition in our forecasts once the completion date is specified.                   Inderes              Valmet kasvattaa Prosessiteknologiaratkaisujaan yli 400 MEUR:n yrityskaupalla...    Valmet tiedotti maanantaina allekirjoittaneensa sopimuksen teollisuusventtiilivalmistaja Severn Groupin ostamisesta. Yrityskauppa on Valmetin kokoluokassa melko suuri ja se vahvistaa Valmetin strategisesti tärkeää Virtauksensäätö-liiketoimintaa....

Valmet

We find the overall picture of Valmet’s Q1 report neutral, even though there was strong discord in the businesses, especially in terms of orders and demand outlook. 


<p>We find the overall picture of Valmet&rsquo;s Q1 report neutral, even though there was strong discord in the businesses, especially in terms of orders and demand outlook. However, we prefer to see the glass as half full, as the stable businesses that are important for Valmet's result and value develop at least reasonably, which compensates for the headwind caused by the weakness of the device businesses' orders and order outlook, especially for next year. After the report, the decreases in earnings forecasts were minor at Group level. We believe that the upside in Valmet's low valuation and the good dividend yield of nearly 6% still generate a higher expected return than the required return on a one-year scope.</p>

	2023	24e	25e
Revenue	5,532.0	5,423.5	5,267.2
growth-%	9.0 %	-2.0 %	-2.9 %
EBIT (adj.)	598.0	593.5	611.0
EBIT-% (adj.)	10.8 %	10.9 %	11.6 %
EPS (adj.)	2.31	2.19	2.30
Dividend	1.35	1.40	1.45
Dividend %	5.2 %	4.8 %	5.0 %
P/E (adj.)	11.3	13.3	12.6
EV/EBITDA	8.4	8.5	7.9

The glass is half full

Key Estimate Figures08.02.2024

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