contentSlug

type

ContentSlug_ContentQuery

slug

ContentPageContentQuery

content

trendingContent

query ContentSlug_ContentQuery(
  $contentSlug: String!
  $type: [ContentType!]
) {
  ...ContentPageContentQuery_13QmVO
}

fragment CompanyDetails_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  companies {
    name
    description
    pageUrl
    id
  }
}

fragment ContentBasicInfo on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  id
  type
  title
  lang
  companies {
    viewerIsFollowing
    id
    name
    pageUrl
  }
  tags {
    viewerIsFollowing
    id
    name
    pageUrl
  }
  ...PublishingDetails
  ...Reactions
}

fragment ContentMetadata on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  type
  title
  lang
  pageUrl
  alternatePageUrls: translations {
    __typename
    pageUrl
    lang
  }
  imgUrl
  description
  ... on Video {
    liveTime
    videoUrl
  }
  ... on Webcast {
    liveTime
    videoUrl
  }
}

fragment ContentPageContentQuery_13QmVO on Query {
  content(slug: $contentSlug, type: $type) {
    __typename
    id
    type
    title
    isPremium
    lang
    htmlBody
    summary
    companies {
      forum {
        latestPosts {
          ...ForumPosts
        }
      }
      name
      id
      viewerIsFollowing
      pageUrl
      defaultInstrument {
        isin
        id
        marketOpen
        marketClose
        marketplace {
          region
        }
        returns {
          total
        }
      }
    }
    tags {
      viewerIsFollowing
      id
      name
      pageUrl
    }
    createdAt
    ... on Video {
      liveTime
    }
    ... on Webcast {
      liveTime
    }
    slug
    ... on CompanyReport {
      reportUrl
    }
    ... on ThirdPartyCompanyReport {
      reportUrl
    }
    ... on StockExchangeRelease {
      reportUrl
    }
    ...ContentBasicInfo
    ...ContentMetadata
    ...PriceAndRecommendation_Content
    ...CompanyDetails_Content
    ...ReportLink_Content
    ...KeyFigures_Content
  }
  ...TrendingContent_1jQ2Cn
}

fragment ForumPosts on ForumPost {
  text
  likesCount
  url
  author
  postedAt
  authorImgUrl
}

fragment KeyFigures_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  companies {
    defaultInstrument {
      estimateData {
        modelType
        reportingCurrency
      }
      snapshot {
        transaction {
          date
          actualized {
            year
            quarter
            revenue
            revenueGrowth
            ebitAdjusted
            ebitReported
            ebitda
            enterpriseValue
            epsAdjusted
            dividend
            dividendYield
            sharePrice
          }
          estimates {
            year
            quarter
            revenue
            revenueGrowth
            ebitAdjusted
            ebitReported
            ebitda
            enterpriseValue
            epsAdjusted
            dividend
            dividendYield
            sharePrice
          }
        }
      }
      id
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment PriceAndRecommendation_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  createdAt
  companies {
    name
    pageUrl
    defaultInstrument {
      priceData {
        tradeCurrency
      }
      snapshot {
        priceData {
          date
          lastPrice
          tradeCurrency
        }
        transaction {
          date
          recommendation
          targetPrice
        }
        prevTransaction {
          recommendation
        }
      }
      id
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment PublishingDetails on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  createdAt
  publishers {
    name
    imgUrl
  }
  authors {
    __typename
    id
    name
    slug
    imgUrl
    jobTitle
  }
  ... on Video {
    liveTime
  }
  ... on Webcast {
    liveTime
  }
}

fragment Reactions on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  id
  reactionGroups {
    reactionType
    reactionsCount
    viewerReacted
  }
}

fragment ReportLink_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  type
  isPremium
  ... on CompanyReport {
    reportUrl
  }
  ... on ThirdPartyCompanyReport {
    reportUrl
  }
  ... on StockExchangeRelease {
    reportUrl
  }
}

fragment TrendingContent_1jQ2Cn on Query {
  trendingContent(type: ARTICLE) {
    __typename
    id
    title
    lang
    pageUrl
    createdAt
    type
    imgUrl
    companies {
      squareLogoUrl
      name
      id
    }
    authors {
      __typename
      imgUrl
      id
    }
    publishers {
      imgUrl
    }
  }
}


starbreeze-lower-valuation-improves-risk-reward-ratio-ahead-payday-3-release

__typename

title

isPremium

lang

htmlBody

summary

companies

createdAt

publishers

authors

reactionGroups

pageUrl

translations

imgUrl

description

Starbreeze operates in the gaming industry and focuses on the development, publishing and distribution of computer games and interactive entertainment. The company's portfolio includes both its own games and collaborations with other game developers. The business is aimed at gamers and distributors globally, with the largest operations in Europe. Starbreeze was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Christoffer and Atte have prepared a new company report on Starbreeze after the Q3 results.   \nStarbreeze reported Q3 revenue in line with expectations, but adjusted operating profit fell short of expectations, mainly due to higher depreciations. PAYDAY 3 revenue was particularly low compared to our forecasts, but this was compensated by the renewed strength of PAYDAY 2 after the introduction of its subscription model. We understand that PD3’s monthly content updates will begin from December onwards, and the company will offer shorter, continuous content plans instead of annual ones. However, visibility into new work-for-hire projects remains limited, and as the KRAFTON partnership approaches completion, we have lowered our revenue assumptions due to timing effects. This, combined with expected changes in the revenue structure and slightly higher depreciations, led to downward forecast revisions. Due to the persistently low player activity in PD3, we believe the company has much to prove before a stronger scenario can be confidently priced in. Given the low absolute valuation, the lack of clear short-term drivers keeps us on the sidelines. We reiterate our Reduce recommendation and lower our target price to SEK 0.14 (previously SEK 0.15).                   Inderes              Starbreeze Q3'25: Näkymää on edelleen vaikea arvioida - Inderes    Starbreeze raportoi odotusten mukaisen Q3-liikevaihdon, mutta oikaistu liikevoitto jäi odotuksista

Hi! Our analyst Christoffer interviewed Starbreeze’s CEO today in connection with their Q3 report. Check it out here, the interview is in English.                   Inderes              Starbreeze Q3´25: All eyes on the new strategy’s progress - Inderes    Time: 2025-11-11 15:05 Starbreeze released its Q3 report today, with much of the focus on the Baxter exit and the progress of its new strategy. In this interview with CEO Adolf Kristjansson, we discuss Starbreeze’s performance during the third...

There isn’t much to share in the coffers; even those small amounts go purely into running the bureaucracy and finding a party that would then buy the PD license. I’m just following this with interest… because one doesn’t know yet until the sign is finally on the door. This is easy to follow when there are 2 games that need to bring money into the company, and one of them is keeping Starbreeze on life support. The other one (PD3) should somehow turn a new leaf. The larger cash burn at least slowed down significantly when Baxter was discontinued; whether the pace is enough to turn that into a cash flow into the coffers in the future remains to be seen. And I think that from that UE5 engine, one could try to disguise Payday 3 as version 2.0 with several new maps and other content, to see if this could still create a catalyst in the player base. In any case, Starbreeze’s prospects are slim.

Optimization would require expertise, and most of the Payday 2 developers left the company even before PD3’s release. Payday 3 and Baxter paint a grim picture of a company that only destroys its owners’ money without the ability to effectively create quality products. I am still of the opinion that all employees should be laid off and the remaining money distributed to the owners. Nothing will come of this business. The current situation is well illustrated by the fact that Starbreeze’s best employees now work either at Embark or MachineGames.

And there are no changes in player data for Payday 3, so the promising start at the beginning of the year sharply turned back to its lowest figures… there’s a strong hate (PD3) and love (PD2) relationship towards Starbreeze’s products. …but Payday 2 shifted to a subscription-based model during that quarter, so is there any information available on how many players have moved to PD2 because of this? …will a similar thing happen to PD3? …Payday 3 was previously promised to be converted to UE5 at some point, so now that the Baxter team has stopped, will this move quickly? Especially since Embark Studios, known for Arc Raiders, succeeded in its UE5 optimization, does Starbreeze still intend to implement an engine update?

Here are Jenneli’s quick comments on Starbreeze’s Q3 results.  Starbreeze reported Q3 revenue in line with expectations, but adjusted profitability fell short of our forecasts, mainly due to higher-than-expected depreciations. As expected, the termination of the Baxter project led to a significant impairment, which dominated the headlines. While PAYDAY 2’s revenue surprised positively, PAYDAY 3’s revenue clearly fell short of our forecasts. The report offered limited updates on the implementation plan and future outlook, leaving key questions regarding the timing of accelerating content production and the contract work pipeline still open. We hope to get further clarity on these matters in the earnings webcast, which starts at 10:00 AM CEST.                   Inderes              Starbreeze Q3’25 pikakommentti: Liikevaihto linjassa, mutta kannattavuus...    Raportti tarjosi rajallisesti päivityksiä toteutussuunnitelmaan ja tulevaisuudennäkymiin

@christoffer.jennel has given his preliminary comments as Starbreeze reports its Q3 results next week on Tuesday.  *The quarter is dominated by the announced termination of Project Baxter, which leads to a non-cash impairment charge of approximately 255 MSEK, significantly impacting the reported Q3 result. Without the impairment, we expect the adjusted operating profit to be approximately -4 MSEK, which represents an improvement from the previous year, driven by higher expected revenues and lower normalized depreciations. Revenue growth (37% y/y) is expected to be mainly due to KRAFTON’s work-for-hire partnership, but we also expect growth in PAYDAY-related revenues thanks to the acquisition of full publishing rights. Following the strategic shift to fully focus on the PAYDAY franchise, we are closely monitoring the progress of implementation, the PAYDAY (3

Starbreeze

With the release date of PAYDAY 3 nearing, our confidence in the game’s success remains. We are particularly encouraged by the positive feedback the game has received and the positive indicators related to the game released by Starbreeze. The biggest question mark surrounding Starbreeze is the medium to long-term future of the company and what level of confidence to assign to any projections regarding the games after PAYDAY 3. However, with the recent decline in share price, we believe the risk-reward ratio has returned to being modestly positive.

<p>With the release date of PAYDAY 3 nearing, our confidence in the game’s success remains. We are particularly encouraged by the positive feedback the game has received and the positive indicators related to the game released by Starbreeze. The biggest question mark surrounding Starbreeze is the medium to long-term future of the company and what level of confidence to assign to any projections regarding the games after PAYDAY 3. However, with the recent decline in share price, we believe the risk-reward ratio has returned to being modestly positive.</p> 

	2022	23e	24e
Revenue	127.6	679.0	373.4
growth-%	1.5 %	432.1 %	-45.0 %
EBIT (adj.)	6.7	433.9	79.5
EBIT-% (adj.)	5.3 %	63.9 %	21.3 %
EPS (adj.)	-0.08	0.30	0.05
Dividend	0.00	0.00	0.00
Dividend %
P/E (adj.)	neg.	0.4	2.1
EV/EBITDA	18.1	neg.	neg.

Starbreeze: Lower valuation improves risk-reward ratio ahead of PAYDAY 3 release

Key Estimate Figures12.09.2023

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