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Research

Nokia: Sluggish earnings growth outlook limits upside

By Atte RiikolaAnalyst
Nokia
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Nokia's market does not seem to offer any substantial leverage for net sales growth in the coming years, which also makes profitability improvement challenging. In our view, the lack of earnings growth also limits the upside potential of the stock's low valuation multiples. Still, we expect the improved earnings performance of recent years to hold up reasonably well and, with improving cash flow in the coming years, Nokia's profit distribution should be abundant.

Nokia is a global telecommunications company. The company offers solutions in IP, broadband, digital health, and cloud-based systems. The customers are found in a broad base of markets and consist of large corporate customers, authorities, and private consumers. The business is established on a global level in all regions. Nokia was founded in 1865 and the head office is located in Esbo, Finland.

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Key Estimate Figures20.07.2023

202223e24e
Revenue24,911.023,877.424,034.1
growth-%12.2 %-4.1 %0.7 %
EBIT (adj.)3,109.02,784.72,743.0
EBIT-% (adj.)12.5 %11.7 %11.4 %
EPS (adj.)0.440.360.36
Dividend0.120.180.20
Dividend %2.8 %3.2 %3.5 %
P/E (adj.)9.916.015.7
EV/EBITDA6.28.58.4

Forum discussions

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So 4G passed them by, 5G passed them by… I wonder if it’s time for Nokia (and Ericsson) to return to the consumer market?
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