contentSlug

type

ContentSlug_ContentQuery

slug

ContentPageContentQuery

content

trendingContent

query ContentSlug_ContentQuery(
  $contentSlug: String!
  $type: [ContentType!]
) {
  ...ContentPageContentQuery_13QmVO
}

fragment CompanyDetails_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  companies {
    name
    description
    pageUrl
    id
  }
}

fragment ContentBasicInfo on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  id
  type
  title
  lang
  companies {
    viewerIsFollowing
    id
    name
    pageUrl
  }
  tags {
    viewerIsFollowing
    id
    name
    pageUrl
  }
  ...PublishingDetails
  ...Reactions
}

fragment ContentMetadata on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  type
  title
  lang
  pageUrl
  alternatePageUrls: translations {
    __typename
    pageUrl
    lang
  }
  imgUrl
  description
  ... on Video {
    liveTime
    videoUrl
  }
  ... on Webcast {
    liveTime
    videoUrl
  }
}

fragment ContentPageContentQuery_13QmVO on Query {
  content(slug: $contentSlug, type: $type) {
    __typename
    id
    type
    title
    isPremium
    lang
    htmlBody
    summary
    companies {
      forum {
        latestPosts {
          ...ForumPosts
        }
      }
      name
      id
      viewerIsFollowing
      pageUrl
      defaultInstrument {
        isin
        id
        marketOpen
        marketClose
        marketplace {
          region
        }
        returns {
          total
        }
      }
    }
    tags {
      viewerIsFollowing
      id
      name
      pageUrl
    }
    createdAt
    ... on Video {
      liveTime
    }
    ... on Webcast {
      liveTime
    }
    slug
    ... on CompanyReport {
      reportUrl
    }
    ... on ThirdPartyCompanyReport {
      reportUrl
    }
    ... on StockExchangeRelease {
      reportUrl
    }
    ...ContentBasicInfo
    ...ContentMetadata
    ...PriceAndRecommendation_Content
    ...CompanyDetails_Content
    ...ReportLink_Content
    ...KeyFigures_Content
  }
  ...TrendingContent_1jQ2Cn
}

fragment ForumPosts on ForumPost {
  text
  likesCount
  url
  author
  postedAt
  authorImgUrl
}

fragment KeyFigures_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  companies {
    defaultInstrument {
      estimateData {
        modelType
        reportingCurrency
      }
      snapshot {
        transaction {
          date
          actualized {
            year
            quarter
            revenue
            revenueGrowth
            ebitAdjusted
            ebitReported
            ebitda
            enterpriseValue
            epsAdjusted
            dividend
            dividendYield
            sharePrice
            nav
            navPerShare
            opexOfNav
            quarterlySharePrice
          }
          estimates {
            year
            quarter
            revenue
            revenueGrowth
            ebitAdjusted
            ebitReported
            ebitda
            enterpriseValue
            epsAdjusted
            dividend
            dividendYield
            sharePrice
            nav
            navPerShare
            opexOfNav
            quarterlySharePrice
          }
        }
      }
      id
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment PriceAndRecommendation_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  createdAt
  companies {
    name
    pageUrl
    defaultInstrument {
      priceData {
        tradeCurrency
      }
      snapshot {
        priceData {
          date
          lastPrice
          tradeCurrency
        }
        transaction {
          date
          recommendation
          targetPrice
        }
        prevTransaction {
          recommendation
        }
      }
      id
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment PublishingDetails on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  createdAt
  publishers {
    name
    imgUrl
  }
  authors {
    __typename
    id
    name
    slug
    imgUrl
    jobTitle
  }
  ... on Video {
    liveTime
  }
  ... on Webcast {
    liveTime
  }
}

fragment Reactions on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  id
  reactionGroups {
    reactionType
    reactionsCount
    viewerReacted
  }
}

fragment ReportLink_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  type
  isPremium
  ... on CompanyReport {
    reportUrl
  }
  ... on ThirdPartyCompanyReport {
    reportUrl
  }
  ... on StockExchangeRelease {
    reportUrl
  }
}

fragment TrendingContent_1jQ2Cn on Query {
  trendingContent(type: ARTICLE) {
    __typename
    id
    title
    lang
    pageUrl
    createdAt
    type
    imgUrl
    companies {
      squareLogoUrl
      name
      id
    }
    authors {
      __typename
      imgUrl
      id
    }
    publishers {
      imgUrl
    }
  }
}


__typename

title

isPremium

lang

htmlBody

summary

companies

createdAt

publishers

authors

reactionGroups

pageUrl

translations

imgUrl

description

Co. Head of Research

Petri Gostowski

Neste produces transport fuel and renewable fuels. Today, the largest operations and extraction are held in the Nordic market, where the company is active in the entire value chain, from extraction to delivery to port depots. In addition, the opportunity is given for direct sales where customers can pick up fuel at selected stations. The largest market is in the Nordic region, and the company is headquartered in Espoo, Finland.

Inderes              Neste Q4'25: Uusiutuvien tuotteiden volyymit ovat tiukassa - Inderes    Nesteen Q4-tulos löi odotukset selvällä marginaalilla, kun taas vuodelle 2026 annettu myyntimäärien ohjeistus Uusiutuvien tuotteiden osalta jäi vaisuksi suhteessa odotuksiin.                             “Neste’s Q4 result beat expectations by a clear margin, while the sales volume guidance given for 2026 for Renewable Products was soft relative to expectations. We have therefore made minor negative forecast revisions for the current year reflecting this. Thus, we reiterate our EUR 22.0 target price and our reduce recommendation.” – OP lowers recommendation to ADD (prev. BUY) and target price to 23.00 (prev. 27.00)

Here is also Heikki and Eeva’s interview.                   Inderes              Neste Q4’25: Hieno tuloskäänne - Inderes    Aika: 05.02.2026 klo 17.52 Neste teki hienon tuloskäänteen vuonna 2025. Toimitusjohtaja Heikki Malinen ja talousjohtaja Eeva Sipilä kommentoivat inderesTV:ssä.                             I’d also like to remind you about the ROAST! It hasn’t aged at all in a couple of months.                   Inderes              ROAST Neste 28.11.2025 - Inderes    Aika: 01.12.2025 klo 11.00 Kieli: fi Nesteen toimitusjohtaja Heikki Malinen saapuu Pulkkisen vieraaksi ROASTiin.

I calculated that Neste “leaves” about 825 million tons of renewable products unsold when the current utilization rate is compared to the best times when the utilization rate was 90%. If there is such “underutilization” now, the 1.3 million ton expansion in Rotterdam sounds quite optimistic, considering the current “deficit” in production. Personally, I’d say the problem is on the procurement side, as the equipment itself should have no problem running at nearly full capacity, as has been proven in the past.

Finland’s renewable plants will go on shutdown in Porvoo at the same time as the rest of the refinery. But we’re talking about fairly small volumes there, anyway.

To clarify, there are no further maintenance shutdowns on the renewables side other than those that have already concluded.

From the KL article: “In its outlook, the company estimates that the sales volume of renewable products in 2026 will be at roughly the same level as in 2025. The sales volume of oil products in 2026 is expected to be lower than in 2025 due to a planned maintenance shutdown.”

I don’t think any more specific details have been given on that, but I don’t see any other bottlenecks besides raw materials, as there are no more shutdowns scheduled for the rest of the year.

Neste

The Q3 figures reported by Neste were well ahead of our expectations, reflecting which we raised our estimates for the current year. However, our focus is on earnings growth in the coming years, driven by volume growth in Renewable Products. In this respect, the outlook for next year is very cloudy due to several variables. In the longer term, however, we are confident that rising sales volumes from investments in Renewable Products will drive earnings growth, even if margins come under pressure from current peak levels.

<p>The Q3 figures reported by Neste were well ahead of our expectations, reflecting which we raised our estimates for the current year. However, our focus is on earnings growth in the coming years, driven by volume growth in Renewable Products. In this respect, the outlook for next year is very cloudy due to several variables. In the longer term, however, we are confident that rising sales volumes from investments in Renewable Products will drive earnings growth, even if margins come under pressure from current peak levels.</p> 

	2022	23e	24e
Revenue	25,707.4	21,931.1	23,569.8
growth-%	69.7 %	-14.7 %	7.5 %
EBIT (adj.)	2,898.0	2,641.5	2,086.8
EBIT-% (adj.)	11.3 %	12.0 %	8.9 %
EPS (adj.)	3.02	2.90	2.13
Dividend	1.52	1.10	1.15
Dividend %	3.5 %	5.3 %	5.6 %
P/E (adj.)	14.3	7.2	9.7
EV/EBITDA	11.3	6.7	6.0

Neste: Into the unknown

Key Estimate Figures26.10.2023

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