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Sitowise Q2'26 preview: Sweden's divestment likely to lead to clear jump in profitability

SITOWSAnalyst Comment06.08.2026, 12.00
Atte JortikkaAnalyst
Discuss

Summary

  • Sitowise's Q2 revenue is expected to decrease by 13% to 43 MEUR due to the divestment of its Swedish operations, which have been reclassified as discontinued operations.
  • The adjusted EBITA is anticipated to rise to 3.5 MEUR, reflecting an 8.1% margin, primarily due to the removal of the loss-making Swedish unit and improved operational efficiency in Finland.
  • Despite the revenue decline, profitability is expected to improve, supported by infrastructure and green transition projects, though the Finnish housing construction market remains weak.
  • Attention will be focused on the order book development, management's market recovery outlook, and the company's progress toward its target net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of less than 3.0x.

This content is generated by AI. You can give feedback on it in the Inderes forum.

Translation: Original published in Finnish on 8/6/2026 at 7:00 am EEST.

Estimates Q2'25Q2'26Q2'26eQ2'26eConsensus2026
MEUR/EUR ComparisonActualizedInderesConsensusHigh LowInderes
Revenue 49.8 43.2    173.6
EBITA (adj.) 2.5 3.5    12.5
EBIT 1 2.7    8.1
EPS (reported) -0.01 -0.49    -0.47
          
Revenue growth-%-2.10% -13.20%    -8.00%
EBITA-% (adj.) 5.10% 8.10%    7.20%

Source: Inderes

Sitowise will publish its Q2 report on Wednesday, August 12. We expect the company's revenue to have decreased from the comparison period due to the divestment of Swedish operations, though we anticipate a significant improvement in the profitability of continuing operations after removing the unprofitable unit from the figures. In the report, we will pay particular attention to the development of the order book, signs of recovery in the Finnish market, and the company’s financial performance under the new structure.

Revenue declines following the divestiture of operations in Sweden

We forecast Sitowise's Q2 revenue to decrease by 13% to 43 MEUR (Q2'25: 50 MEUR). The most significant factor behind the decrease is the sale of the Swedish technical consulting business, which was announced in June, and as a result, the unit has been reclassified as discontinued operations and removed from the revenue of continuing operations. In continuing operations, we expect the Infra business to continue its steady, positive development, supported by infrastructure projects, green transition projects, and data centers, among other things. For Digital Solutions, we anticipate stable year-on-year development, although we expect product sales to have grown further within the business area. In contrast, volumes in the Buildings business area are expected to have remained low, as the Finnish housing construction cycle has continued to be weak, although the worst of the downturn should be over by now.

Profitability leaps as loss-making Sweden leaves the figures

We expect the adjusted EBITA to have increased to 3.5 MEUR (Q2'25: 2.5 MEUR) which corresponds to a margin of 8.1% (Q2'25: 5.1%). This surge in profitability is largely due to the removal of the loss-making Swedish business from the figures for continuing operations, which improves the group's margin profile immediately. Additionally, profitability is bolstered by previously implemented adjustment measures in Finland and a better balance between the number of employees and workload, reflected in the billing rate. However, according to our estimates, earnings per share reported on the bottom line are significantly impacted by a non-cash write-down of approximately 18 MEUR related to the sale of the Swedish subsidiary. We expect financing costs to have remained relatively high, although they are slowly beginning to decrease.

Focus on order book and outlook

Sitowise has not yet provided numerical guidance for 2026 due to market uncertainty. We will monitor whether the company provides more precise guidelines for the rest of the year with the new structure, but it is possible that guidance will not be available even at this stage. For full-year 2026, we currently estimate that revenue from continuing operations will decrease by 8% to 174 MEUR and that adjusted EBITA will be 12.5 MEUR.

In the report, we will pay particular attention to the development of the order book and management's comments on the timeline for recovery in the Finnish construction market. During the quarter, the company announced several projects, all of which center primarily on the Infra business and rail transport. The Vantaa light rail (second partial order) and West-Helsinki Light Rail projects progressed to the implementation phase, with the second partial order contract being signed in Vantaa in May and construction of the West-Helsinki Light Rail commencing. The Airport Line and the East Railway projects, on the other hand, are in the design phase prior to a construction decision, for which Sitowise was selected, together with Ramboll, to prepare the track plan for the Airport Line and to participate in the general planning phase of the East Railway as a second design consortium. Data center construction has also emerged as an important growth driver in recent times, and we look forward to an update on the outlook for demand in this sector. In addition, we monitor the company's cash flow and balance sheet trends. Cutting losses in Sweden will help the company restore its balance sheet and move toward its target net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of less than 3.0x, which is important for the stock’s risk profile.

Sitowise is a Nordic expert in technical consulting and digital solutions. Our mission is to engineer the foundation of Nordic resilience. We design infrastructure, buildings and cities that stand the test of time and change. We enhance society’s operational reliability by developing critical infrastructure and ensure the sustainable use of the environment and natural resources. We operate in four business areas: Infra, Buildings, Digital solutions and Sweden. The Group’s net sales in 2025 were EUR 189 million, and the company employs approximately 1,900 experts. Sitowise Group Plc is listed on the Nasdaq Helsinki stock exchange under the trading symbol SITOWS.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures10.06

202526e27e
Revenue188.7173.6178.4
growth-%-2.2 %-8.0 %2.8 %
EBIT (adj.)4.48.013.5
EBIT-% (adj.)2.3 %4.6 %7.6 %
EPS (adj.)-0.010.030.18
Dividend0.000.020.05
Dividend %0.8 %1.9 %
P/E (adj.)neg.95.514.5
EV/EBITDA11.49.16.9

Forum discussions

Here are Ate’s pre-game thoughts ahead of Sitowise reporting its Q2 results next Wednesday We expect the company’s revenue to have declined ...
8/6/2026, 7:03 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
0
Summer greetings to everyone! Our silent period begins on Monday, so here is the link to our pre-silent letter again: Q2/2026 Pre-silent period...
7/10/2026, 3:08 PM
by Sitowise IR / Mari
4
Olli has also kindly updated the company report. Sitowise announced yesterday that it is selling its Swedish technical consulting operations...
6/10/2026, 6:00 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
2
There will be a write-down of approximately EUR 18 million on the balance sheet, so the cash inflow is only EV=EUR 3 million, with a potential...
6/9/2026, 7:04 AM
by Olli Vilppo
3
How much debt is associated with these operations being sold? In which direction is the money moving in this transaction @Olli_Vilppo, and by...
6/9/2026, 6:55 AM
by Karhu Hylje
1
Inderes – 9 Jun 26 Sitowise myy Ruotsin teknisen konsultoinnin ja katkaisee tappiokierteen -... Sitowise tiedotti tiistaina myyvänsä tappiollisen...
6/9/2026, 6:51 AM
by Olli Vilppo
5
News Powered by Cision Sisäpiiritieto: Sitowise on allekirjoittanut sopimuksen Ruotsin tytäryhtiönsä... Sitowise Group Oyj Sisäpiiritieto, 9...
6/9/2026, 5:33 AM
by Cadel
8