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Remedy will release Control Resonant in late September

REMEDYAnalyst Comment03.06.2026, 08.17
Roni PeuranheimoAnalyst
Discuss

Summary

  • Remedy announced the release date for Control Resonant as September 24, 2026, which is a key driver for the company's investment case and earnings trend.
  • The release timing at the end of Q3 may require minor adjustments to quarterly projections, and it precedes the release of GTA 6 in November.
  • Remedy's shift to a self-publishing model means it will record total sales as revenue, but with reduced gross margins due to distribution costs and Annapurna's share.
  • The standard price for Control Resonant is EUR 59.99, and the game's sales performance will be closely monitored through Steam wishlist rankings and player reactions.

This content is generated by AI. You can give feedback on it in the Inderes forum.

Translation: Original published in Finnish on 6/3/2026 at 8:45 am EEST.

Remedy announced the expected release date of Control Resonant as September 24, 2026. In our view, this is by far the most critical individual driver of the company's current investment case and earnings trend. While the Q3 release aligns with our estimates, the timing at the very end of the quarter may require minor adjustments to our quarterly projections, which we will address in our next update. Regarding the release window, it was clear that Control Resonant would be released before GTA 6, which is coming in November. However, the timing is now getting relatively close to that, and it also falls during a typically busy period for game releases.

With the shift to a self-publishing model, Remedy is now fully responsible for marketing and distributing a game of this scale for the first time. Self-publishing will significantly impact Remedy's income statement compared to historical figures. As the publisher, Remedy records the game’s total sales as revenue, but on the expense side, this is reduced by the platforms' distribution costs (~25% of sales) and Annapurna's share of net sales. Consequently, the gross margin on self-published games is notably lower than on previous royalty-based titles (e.g., Alan Wake 2), where the margin was effectively 100%. In absolute figures, however, self-publishing offers Remedy significantly greater earnings potential if Control Resonant sells well. The game's standard price of EUR 59.99 reflects typical AAA game pricing and is in line with our expectations. Over the summer, we will closely monitor the game’s Steam wishlist rankings and the reactions of the player community to the trailers to assess the validity of our sales forecasts.

Remedy Entertainment is a game developer. Its operations are primarily focused on the development of action games, with a particular focus on 3D technology. Examples of games that the company has developed include several different versions of Alan Wake, Max Payne, and Control. Remedy also develops its own game engine and tooling technology that powers many of its games. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Espoo, Finland.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures05.05

202526e27e
Revenue59.5123.5121.7
growth-%17.5 %107.5 %-1.4 %
EBIT (adj.)-14.94.212.5
EBIT-% (adj.)-25.0 %3.4 %10.3 %
EPS (adj.)-0.960.200.72
Dividend0.000.000.00
Dividend %
P/E (adj.)neg.87.423.9
EV/EBITDA17.28.88.0

Forum discussions

On Gamalytic, the owner count is now at 433.5K. Sales rankings have held up relatively well on the PlayStation side, too. By all reasonable ...
20 hours ago
by Keijo Hannula
11
I don’t know if this is the reason why such a boring and non-committal guidance was given for this year: “Revenue and EBIT will grow from the...
20 hours ago
11
What budget cuts? Communications and marketing are visible somewhere almost every day. Just because not everyone sees it doesn’t mean it isn...
20 hours ago
by Hippos
1
It does. There’s already plenty of communication regarding other matters, so it doesn’t make sense to push everything out all at once. I believe...
21 hours ago
by Hippos
0
It’s good to remember with these major seasonal Steam sales that Steam’s overall transaction volume—both in terms of unit sales and dollars—...
21 hours ago
11
Vielä tähän videoon liittyen, tarkkailin eilen steamin USA top sellers listaa. Resonant oli sijalla 40 videon julkaisun jälkeen. Ennen kun menin...
23 hours ago
by Tirehtööri
12
MoistCrItiKaL posted a video about Resonant on his main channel, where videos typically get several million views. Big deal, he definitely doesn...
yesterday
by Tirehtööri
35