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Analyst Comment

Koskisen will continue to develop Panel Industry with 7 MEUR investments in 2026

By Antti ViljakainenHead of Research
Koskisen

Summary

  • Koskisen announced the second phase of its Panel Industry investment program, valued at 7 MEUR, focusing on modernizing veneer processing technology, with completion planned for July 2026.
  • The first phase, completed in 2025, was valued at 12 MEUR and targeted log handling and process automation, aiming to increase plywood production capacity from 65,000 to 85,000 cubic meters by 2027.
  • The investment aligns with expectations, as the total program is estimated at 25–35 MEUR, addressing the European birch plywood supply deficit due to halted Russian imports.
  • The investment program's progress has been incorporated into forecasts for 2026–2027, anticipating revenue growth and profitability improvements as new capacity and efficiency gains are realized.

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Translation: Original published in Finnish on 1/12/2026 at 7:40 am EET.

Koskisen announced on Friday that it will launch the second phase of its Panel Industry investment program. The investment is a continuation of the company's previously announced three-year investment program, which aims to increase plywood production capacity and improve productivity. The news was expected, and the size of the second phase of the investment program is also roughly in line with our expectations. 

Investment program proceeds to second phase

Koskisen is launching the second phase of its Panel Industry investment program, valued at roughly 7 MEUR. The investments are aimed at developing veneer further processing, and they will replace and modernize outdated technology in areas such as veneer splicing and hot pressing. The investments are planned to be carried out in connection with the summer shutdown in July 2026.

The company also announced that the first phase of the investment program was completed at the end of 2025. The first phase of investments was valued at approximately 12 MEUR and focused on log handling and process automation. We previously commented on the launch of the investment program here. The goal of the investment program, spanning 2025–2027, is to increase plywood production capacity from the current 65,000 cubic meters to 85,000 cubic meters.

The scale of the second phase was broadly in line with our expectations

The investment decision did not come as a surprise, as Koskisen has communicated that the focus of investments is shifting from the Sawn Timber Industry to the Panel Industry, and the Panel Industry's investment program was communicated from the outset to be three years long. We have previously estimated the total investment program to be around 25–35 MEUR, so the now-announced 7 MEUR installment fits well within this scope, together with the 12 MEUR first phase already completed.

We believe the investment is justified, as the European birch plywood market has experienced a supply deficit since Russian imports ceased. Thus, there should, in principle, be demand for Koskisen's additional capacity, even though the weak European economic situation over the past year has also limited the demand for birch plywood. The increase in capacity has also been partly enabled by the higher volume of wood procurement due to the growth of the Sawn Timber Industry (including investments in Järvelä and the acquisition of Iisveden Metsä Oy). In addition, investing in automation and productivity is important for maintaining competitiveness and improving cost-efficiency.

We have already taken into account the progress of the investment program in our forecasts

We have already accounted for the Panel Industry's investment program, the volume growth it enables, and the cash flow effects of the investments in our 2026–2027 forecasts. Therefore, additional information on the second phase of the program does not cause immediate changes to our estimates. We expect the investments to support the Panel Industry's revenue growth and profitability improvement in the coming years, as the new capacity is gradually sold to the market and efficiency benefits are realized.

 

Koskisen is active in the forest industry. The company specializes in the manufacture and distribution of industrial wood products. The company's product portfolio is broad and mainly includes wood products such as sawn wood, plywood, chipboard, and veneer. The business is run via various business segments and the customers can be found in a number of industries around the global market. The largest presence is found in Finland. The company was founded in 1909 and has its headquarters in Järvelä, Finland.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures16.11.2025

202425e26e
Revenue282.2354.7405.1
growth-%4.0 %25.7 %14.2 %
EBIT (adj.)13.117.027.8
EBIT-% (adj.)4.7 %4.8 %6.9 %
EPS (adj.)0.360.460.80
Dividend0.120.200.25
Dividend %1.7 %2.2 %2.7 %
P/E (adj.)19.120.211.5
EV/EBITDA8.08.55.9

Forum discussions

Here are Antti’s comments on Koskisen launching the second phase of the Panel Industry investment program with investments valued at approximately...
11 hours ago
by Sijoittaja-alokas
3
Here are the timed topics for the ROAST: 00:00 Jukka Pahta 01:34 Koskisen 02:30 Why Koskisen 03:50 Koskisen as an investment 06:10 Can the sawmill...
11/19/2025, 9:00 AM
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6
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11/17/2025, 11:41 AM
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11/17/2025, 5:52 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
3
Antti interviewed Koskinen’s CEO Jukka Pahta regarding Q3 Inderes Koskisen Q3'25: Hiljainen kvartaali - Inderes Aika: 14.11.2025 klo 18.36 Koskisen...
11/14/2025, 4:54 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
1
Otherwise, surveys would provide valuable data, but since these surveys are usually conducted using the (e)NPS loser metric, which tells nothing...
11/14/2025, 8:35 AM
by Pohjolan Eka
5
Companies often report employee satisfaction in their massive annual reports. Koskinen’s eNPS in 2024 was 4, which probably isn’t very good,...
11/14/2025, 8:21 AM
by Verneri Pulkkinen
1
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