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Analyst Comment

Eltel selected for new Vattenfall service contract

By Christoffer JennelAnalyst
Eltel

Summary

  • Eltel announced a service-and-maintenance agreement with Vattenfall Eldistribution valued at approximately 138 MEUR over four years, potentially rising to 275 MEUR with option years.
  • This agreement marks a significant expansion of Eltel's relationship with Vattenfall, previously focused on smart-meter rollouts, and enhances the visibility of medium-term forecasts for Eltel's Swedish operations.
  • The contract, starting February 1, 2027, covers service and maintenance for Vattenfall's electricity network in Roslagen and Uppland, with an annual value of ~34 MEUR, representing ~14% of the 2027 revenue estimate for Eltel's Swedish unit.
  • The agreement is subject to a 10-day standstill period ending June 18, 2026, with the final contract expected to be signed on June 22, assuming no appeals are filed.

This content is generated by AI. You can give feedback on it in the Inderes forum.

Eltel announced on Monday an award decision from Vattenfall Eldistribution for a service-and-maintenance agreement valued at ~138 MEUR over an initial four-year period, rising to a potential 275 MEUR including four option years. The agreement represents a new volume for Eltel, whose prior work with Vattenfall had centred on smart-meter rollouts and, as such, we believe it marks a meaningful broadening of that relationship. In our view, the agreement improves the visibility of our medium-term forecasts for the Swedish unit and puts upward pressure on our estimates, though we await the final contract signing before revising them.

New, incremental volume strengthens the Swedish operations

The agreement covers service and maintenance for Vattenfall's electricity network in the Roslagen and Uppland areas, including fault repair, network connections, and projects. The contract period spans four years, starting February 1, 2027, with four option years, bringing the potential total value to 275 MEUR. Importantly, this represents new work for Eltel, as its only prior engagement with Vattenfall was related to smart-meter rollouts. In our view, securing a recurring volume of this scale from a major utility is a constructive signal on Eltel's competitiveness and supports further business momentum within the Swedish operations. As this is recurring service and maintenance work, we expect the margin profile to be broadly consistent with the group's 5% EBITA target once mature, although it could be dilutive in the first year as local operations are mobilised.

Multi-year framework supports the Swedish unit's revenue base and improves visibility

The annual value of ~34 MEUR corresponds to ~14% of our 2027 revenue estimate for the Swedish unit (2027e: 249 MEUR) and 4% of Group revenue (2027e: 883 MEUR). However, as this is a framework agreement, the communicated value is based on Vattenfall's estimate rather than guaranteed volume. The award decision is subject to a standard 10-day standstill period ending on June 18, 2026, and assuming no appeals are filed, the final contract is expected to be signed on June 22. As previously noted, we maintain our current forecasts unchanged pending the final contract signature.

Eltel operates in the telecommunications and electricity industries and offers services in infrastructure for networks and electricity. The company's services include installation, maintenance and project management for telecommunications and electricity networks. The business is aimed at companies and public institutions in Europe. Eltel was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures04.05

202526e27e
Revenue817.8863.7882.7
growth-%-1.3 %5.6 %2.2 %
EBIT (adj.)20.730.735.2
EBIT-% (adj.)2.5 %3.6 %4.0 %
EPS (adj.)0.010.070.11
Dividend0.000.000.00
Dividend %
P/E (adj.)72.116.810.5
EV/EBITDA5.65.14.5

Forum discussions

Here are Christoffer Jennel’s comments regarding the Vattenfall contract Eltel announced on Monday a service and maintenance contract award ...
13 hours ago
by Sijoittaja-alokas
2
A nice-sized contract coming in: €275M / 8 years. The share price also took a small jump on the news today. Hopefully, this is again part of...
23 hours ago
by Keppihevonen
2
Here is ABG’s analysis of Eltel Strong growth and continued margin improvement We raise '26e EBITA by 9%, '27e-'28e by 6% each 9x '26e EV/EBITA...
5/4/2026, 7:36 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
0
Christoffer has published a new company report following Eltel’s Q1 Eltel’s Q1’26 report clearly exceeded our forecasts for both the top and...
5/4/2026, 5:52 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
0
Christoffer interviewed Eltel’s CEO Håkan Dahlström regarding Q1 Inderes Eltel Q1'26: Strong revenue growth - Inderes Time: 30.04.2026 klo 13...
4/30/2026, 5:24 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
0
Excellent result, and it seems forecasts were exceeded by a clear margin: Eltel Eltel Interim report January–March 2026: Strong growth and significant...
4/30/2026, 6:20 AM
by Keppihevonen
2
Christoffer has shared his comments now that Eltel has signed a 60 million deal with Elisa. Eltel announced a new framework agreement with the...
4/30/2026, 4:55 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
0