Copyright © Inderes 2011 - present. All rights reserved.
  • Latest
  • Markets
    • Stock Comparison
    • Financial Calendar
    • Dividends Calendar
    • Research
    • Articles
  • inderesTV
  • Forum
  • About Us
    • Our Coverage
    • Team
Third party research

I-Tech: Sales recovery expected in Q1 - ABG

I-tech

This is a third party research report and does not necessarily reflect our views or values

Download report (PDF)
- Q1e: sales SEK 32m, up 3.7% y-o-y, EBIT margin of 19.2% (27.1%)
- Sales to recover after Q4 dip; new customer expected later this year
- Customers moving forward despite regulatory concerns

Q1e: Anticipate promising results
For Q1, we expect sales of SEK 32m, up 3.7% y-o-y (4% org., -0.3% FX). We estimate EBIT of SEK 6.1m (8.3m), for a margin of 19.2% (27.1%), which we expect to convert to net income of SEK 5.7m (6.7m). This implies EPS of SEK 0.48 (0.56), and FCF of SEK 6.6m (10.9m). We expect Q1 to show stronger results compared to Q4 and to demonstrate that Q4 was only a temporary dip.

Estimate changes and outlook
Ahead of the Q1 report, we make some changes to our estimates for organic sales growth, costs and NWC. These, together with our updated USD FX forecast, lead to a reduction in '24e-'26e sales of 0.2% and EBIT of 9-6%. During the quarter, a leading global coating company, PPG, introduced a new antifouling product containing I-Tech's Selektope within its premium range of coatings, de-risking our '24-'26 estimates. This brings the total number of customers with products on the market up to 4 (out of ~9 relevant potential customers that control ~80% of the market). Furthermore, the company has announced that it is expecting an additional customer launch later this year, which is expected to be both for the new-build and dry-docking market. We see these agreements as a positive as customers are moving forward with I-Tech despite the ongoing regulatory process. Additionally, the company has communicated its aim to increase its gross margin by reducing costs through a new potential supplier in India. The overall outlook for the company remains largely unchanged, in our view, and we believe in continued sales growth and profitability improvements over time.

We reiterate our fair value range of SEK 55-140
The share is currently trading at 13x-6x EV/EBIT '24e-'26e, and 19x-10x P/E '24e-'26e i.e. ~40-50% below the peer median. We reiterate our fair value range of SEK 55-140.
Find us on social media
  • Inderes Forum
  • Youtube
  • Facebook
  • X (Twitter)
Get in touch
  • info@hcandersencapital.dk
  • Bredgade 23B, 2. sal
    1260 København K
Inderes
  • About us
  • Our team
  • Careers
  • Inderes as an investment
  • Services for listed companies
Our platform
  • FAQ
  • Terms of service
  • Privacy policy
  • Disclaimer
Inderes’ Disclaimer can be found here. Detailed information about each share actively monitored by Inderes is available on the company-specific pages on Inderes’ website. © Inderes Oyj. All rights reserved.