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Third party research

Aspo: Full year guidance indicates improving adj. EBITA 2026 y/y - Nordea

Aspo

This is a third party research report and does not necessarily reflect our views or values

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Net sales from continuing operations was in line with our expectation in Q4. Adjusted EBITA from continuing operations came slightly below our forecast in Q4. ESL Shipping segment reported clean EBITA of EUR 3.8m compared to our forecast of EUR 4.8m in Q4. Telko segment reported EUR 0.1m higher adjusted EBITA than we forecasted in Q4. ESL Shipping segment has suffered from weak spot markets and from weak demand from the forest industry. Reported figures included the sales gain of EUR 9.6m. Aspo guides for an improvement in comparable EBITA from continuing operations in 2026 y/y. The Leipurin segment was divested in August 2025 and ESL Shipping could be sold this year. A Telko compounder strategy could then be the main equity story for Aspo in 2027. Execution of the value-creation strategy could be considered successful if ESL Shipping were to be sold at an EV/EBIT of 12x, and the remaining Telko segment were also traded at the same valuation multiples as Swedish compounder companies.
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