contentSlug

type

ContentSlug_ContentQuery

slug

ContentPageContentQuery

content

trendingContent

query ContentSlug_ContentQuery(
  $contentSlug: String!
  $type: [ContentType!]
) {
  ...ContentPageContentQuery_13QmVO
}

fragment CompanyDetails_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  companies {
    name
    description
    pageUrl
    id
  }
}

fragment ContentBasicInfo on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  id
  type
  title
  lang
  companies {
    viewerIsFollowing
    id
    name
    pageUrl
  }
  tags {
    viewerIsFollowing
    id
    name
    pageUrl
  }
  ...PublishingDetails
  ...Reactions
}

fragment ContentMetadata on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  type
  title
  lang
  pageUrl
  alternatePageUrls: translations {
    __typename
    pageUrl
    lang
  }
  imgUrl
  description
  ... on Video {
    liveTime
    videoUrl
  }
  ... on Webcast {
    liveTime
    videoUrl
  }
}

fragment ContentPageContentQuery_13QmVO on Query {
  content(slug: $contentSlug, type: $type) {
    __typename
    id
    type
    title
    isPremium
    lang
    htmlBody
    summary
    companies {
      forum {
        latestPosts {
          ...ForumPosts
        }
      }
      name
      id
      viewerIsFollowing
      pageUrl
      defaultInstrument {
        isin
        id
        marketOpen
        marketClose
        marketplace {
          region
        }
        returns {
          total
        }
      }
    }
    tags {
      viewerIsFollowing
      id
      name
      pageUrl
    }
    createdAt
    ... on Video {
      liveTime
    }
    ... on Webcast {
      liveTime
    }
    slug
    ... on CompanyReport {
      reportUrl
    }
    ... on ThirdPartyCompanyReport {
      reportUrl
    }
    ... on StockExchangeRelease {
      reportUrl
    }
    ...ContentBasicInfo
    ...ContentMetadata
    ...PriceAndRecommendation_Content
    ...CompanyDetails_Content
    ...ReportLink_Content
    ...KeyFigures_Content
  }
  ...TrendingContent_1jQ2Cn
}

fragment ForumPosts on ForumPost {
  text
  likesCount
  url
  author
  postedAt
  authorImgUrl
}

fragment KeyFigures_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  companies {
    defaultInstrument {
      estimateData {
        modelType
        reportingCurrency
      }
      snapshot {
        transaction {
          date
          actualized {
            year
            quarter
            revenue
            revenueGrowth
            ebitAdjusted
            ebitReported
            ebitda
            enterpriseValue
            epsAdjusted
            dividend
            dividendYield
            sharePrice
            nav
            navPerShare
            opexOfNav
            quarterlySharePrice
          }
          estimates {
            year
            quarter
            revenue
            revenueGrowth
            ebitAdjusted
            ebitReported
            ebitda
            enterpriseValue
            epsAdjusted
            dividend
            dividendYield
            sharePrice
            nav
            navPerShare
            opexOfNav
            quarterlySharePrice
          }
        }
      }
      id
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment PriceAndRecommendation_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  createdAt
  companies {
    name
    pageUrl
    defaultInstrument {
      priceData {
        tradeCurrency
      }
      snapshot {
        priceData {
          date
          lastPrice
          tradeCurrency
        }
        transaction {
          date
          recommendation
          targetPrice
        }
        prevTransaction {
          recommendation
        }
      }
      id
    }
    id
  }
}

fragment PublishingDetails on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  createdAt
  publishers {
    name
    imgUrl
  }
  authors {
    __typename
    id
    name
    slug
    imgUrl
    jobTitle
  }
  ... on Video {
    liveTime
  }
  ... on Webcast {
    liveTime
  }
}

fragment Reactions on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  id
  reactionGroups {
    reactionType
    reactionsCount
    viewerReacted
  }
}

fragment ReportLink_Content on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  type
  isPremium
  ... on CompanyReport {
    reportUrl
  }
  ... on ThirdPartyCompanyReport {
    reportUrl
  }
  ... on StockExchangeRelease {
    reportUrl
  }
}

fragment TrendingContent_1jQ2Cn on Query {
  trendingContent(type: ARTICLE) {
    __typename
    id
    title
    lang
    pageUrl
    createdAt
    type
    imgUrl
    companies {
      squareLogoUrl
      name
      id
    }
    authors {
      __typename
      imgUrl
      id
    }
    publishers {
      imgUrl
    }
  }
}


__typename

title

isPremium

lang

htmlBody

summary

companies

createdAt

publishers

authors

reactionGroups

pageUrl

translations

imgUrl

description

Analyst

Juha Kinnunen

Revenio is a global provider of comprehensive eye care diagnostic solutions. The group offers fast, user-friendly, and reliable tools for diagnosing glaucoma, diabetic retinopathy, and macular degeneration (AMD). Revenio’s ophthalmic diagnostic solutions include intraocular pressure (IOP) measurement devices (tonometers), fundus imaging devices, and perimeters as well as software solutions under the iCare brand.

In 2023, the Group’s net sales totaled EUR 96.6 million, with an operating profit of EUR 26.3 million. Revenio Group Corporation is listed on Nasdaq Helsinki with the trading code REG1V.

So, is your point with that image a) forecasting is difficult, especially predicting the future, or b) do you think the current analyst is performing so poorly that the analyst should be replaced? If it’s a), I strongly agree with that; especially in recent years (3-5y), forecasting economic development has been devilishly difficult.

In my opinion, Revenio offers the best buying opportunity since spring 2019, when the CenterVue acquisition was made. The valuation has been pushed down, but at the same time, the market position and relative performance vs. competitors are first-class. I believe Revenio is executing its strategy very purposefully, supported by a committed and long-term principal owner. The acquisition card (even in the very short term) makes owning it interesting at this point, if/when the product portfolio and consequently the target market can be expanded. And surely the company has products/services in development in its own pipeline that we aren’t even aware of yet. Now you get growing quality at a reasonable price, and you can no longer claim that “Revenio is always expensive.”

Mikael stopped making Revenio forecasts in 2021. I don’t believe that forecasts made by Mikael more than five years ago help with future forecasts. And yes, there is other informational value in that image besides whether those forecasts hit the mark. It is clear that they didn’t.

I didn’t say there was a problem, I was mainly wondering why the forecast history doesn’t go further back, since those forecasts are available; it would give a fairer picture of Inderes’ long-term forecast accuracy. Otherwise, it creates a recency bias

Is that the problem you see in the chart?  You can look at the matter in so many ways. Even the fact that Mikael made good forecasts in 2017 is true. I just don’t bother to write it in every post.

Why have you chosen that specific analysis from April 25, 2021, as the starting point for your review? After all, Inderes has been covering Revenio for ages, and the forecasts have hit the mark quite well. I took a spot-check look at Mikael’s report from February 16, 2018, for example; in it, the EBIT trajectory is quite solid even up to this day

Earnings double in 4 years  Continuing with conservative forecasts. Explosive earnings growth is coming in the next few years.

Revenio Group

In the Value Creators concept, we highlight companies that have created substantial shareholder value. In this report, we introduce Revenio - a global leader in ophthalmic equipment and software solutions, with a focus on eye care solutions.

Translation: Original report published in Finnish on 10/1/2024 at 12:15 noon EEST.
In the Value Creators concept, we highlight companies that have created substantial shareholder value. The reports do not include forecasts; they are based solely on historical data and key figures derived from it.
We evaluate companies based on the following indicators: &#xa0;
<ul>
<li>Revenue development</li>
<li>Operating profit development and profitability (%)</li>
<li>Return on capital (%)</li>
<li>Cash flow generated from operations</li>
<li>Share price development and historical valuations &#xa0;</li>
<li>Data is primarily sourced from Bloomberg</li>
</ul>
We look at the long-term development and all figures are presented with the time series 2014-2023.&#xa0;The reports do not constitute investment recommendations.
In this report, we introduce Revenio - a global leader in ophthalmic equipment and software solutions, with a focus on eye care solutions.

	2023	24e	25e
Revenue	96.6	105.2	120.9
growth-%	-0.5 %	8.9 %	15.0 %
EBIT (adj.)	28.5	28.6	36.9
EBIT-% (adj.)	29.5 %	27.2 %	30.6 %
EPS (adj.)	0.80	0.83	1.09
Dividend	0.38	0.40	0.57
Dividend %	1.5 %	2.2 %	3.2 %
P/E (adj.)	31.5	21.8	16.6
EV/EBITDA	22.0	14.5	11.0

Value Creators: Revenio

Stay up to date

Key Estimate Figures08.08.2024

Forum discussions