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Analyst Comment

Anora expands in Lithuania

By Rauli JuvaAnalyst
Anora Group

Translation: Original published in Finnish on 11/25/2024 at 8:35 am EET.

Anora announced this morning that it will scale its position in Lithuania by establishing its own local subsidiary there. Anora has a previous presence in the Baltics, which accounted for 4% of its revenue in 2023. Therefore, a potentially stronger position in Lithuania is not significant from an overall perspective but could still support growth slightly. 

A dedicated Lithuanian organization from early next year

Anora stated that the commercial operations of its Lithuanian organization will start at the beginning of 2025. According to Anora, Lithuania is the largest market in the Baltics and the company intends to sell its strongest own brands as well as partner wines there. So far, Anora has been present in the Baltics in Estonia and Latvia, and the Baltic region together accounted for 4% of the 2023 revenue. The Baltics is a relatively small market and thus we do not believe that Lithuania alone offers significant growth potential on Anora's scale. As the Nordic market is quite mature and currently in decline, any growth potential is of course positive. Our estimates assume small growth in the coming years, including international growth. The news therefore does not give any cause to alter our forecasts.

Anora Group

2.91EUR22.11.2024, 18.00
3.40EURTarget price
Reduce
Recommendation updated:08.11.2024

Anora Group is a producer of alcoholic beverages. The product portfolio consists of wine and spirits marketed under various brands. The largest operations are found in the Nordics and the Baltics, and the company's products are exported to retailers in Europe and North America. The company was created through a merger of Altia and Arcus in 2021 and has its headquarters in Helsinki.

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Key Estimate Figures08.11.2024

202324e25e
Revenue726.5690.7704.0
growth-%3.4 %-4.9 %1.9 %
EBIT (adj.)34.839.645.3
EBIT-% (adj.)4.8 %5.7 %6.4 %
EPS (adj.)0.190.250.34
Dividend0.220.220.22
Dividend %5.0 %6.9 %6.9 %
P/E (adj.)23.112.89.4
EV/EBITDA6.25.34.5
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